Showing 1 - 10 of 811
We review and extend the economic analysis of risk and uncertainty as it relates to behavior mitigating health shocks … for risk-sharing in health by pooling the health care spending risk. In a sense, medical innovation involves a current …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082433
probabilistic terms: we are facing deep uncertainty or ambiguity rather than risk in the classical sense, rendering the classical …Uncertainty is intrinsic to climate change: we know that the climate is changing, but not precisely how fast or in what … available for reducing climate change. Furthermore the uncertainty about these issues is not readily quantified and expressed in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064266
Time-inconsistency of no-bailout policies can create incentives for banks to take excessive risks and generate endogenous crises when the government cannot commit. However, at the outbreak of financial problems, usually the government is uncertain about their nature, and hence it may delay...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087435
technologies under uncertainty. Specifically, given two technologies, one with lower costs at present, but the other with greater … uncertainty in the returns to R&D, how should one allocate the R&D budget? We develop a multi-stage stochastic dynamic programming … variance in the uncertainty in returns to R&D and with the skewness of the uncertainty. We also present an illustrative case …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018720
We develop an integrated theory of investment, seasoned equity offerings (SEOs), liquidation, and corporate savings … under uncertainty for a financially constrained firm, which features endogenous growth options, abandonment options, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044990
Social interactions make communicable disease a core concern of public health policy. A prevalent problem is scarcity of empirical evidence that are informative about how interventions affect population behavior and illness. Randomized trials, which have been important to evaluation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048048
This paper studies Pareto-optimal risk-sharing arrangements in a private information economy with aggregate uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013111299
We study the problem of a policymaker who seeks to set policy optimally in an economy where the true economic structure is unobserved, and he optimally learns from observations of the economy. This is a classic problem of learning and control, variants of which have been studied in the past, but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759822
the present value of the flow of social benefits minus costs. But the real world is one of considerable uncertainty … discount rates that should be used to compute present values. The implications of uncertainty are complicated by the fact that … horizons. Correctly incorporating uncertainty in policy design is therefore one of the more interesting and important research …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778137
In line with the fallacy of riskification of uncertainty by which decision makers believe that the effects of … organizational inefficiency in dealing with uncertainty shocks—exogenous hazards whose welfare effects spread across industries and … markets, such as natural disasters, terrorist attacks, and financial crises—as a problem of risk management. This is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012912518