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Satisfactory calculations of the welfare cost of aggregate consumption uncertainty require a framework that replicates major features of asset prices and returns, such as the high equity premium and low risk-free rate. A Lucas-tree model with rare but large disasters is such a framework. In a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778120
Buyout booms form in response to declines in the aggregate risk premium. We document that the equity risk premium is the primary determinant of buyout activity rather than credit-specific conditions. We articulate a simple explanation for this phenomenon: a low risk premium increases the present...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012986691
We use an experiment with commercial bank loan officers to test how performance based compensation affects risk-assessment and lending. High-powered incentives lead to greater screening effort and more profitable lending decisions. This effect, however, is muted by deferred compensation and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075422
In this paper we study "investment tournaments," a class of decision problems that involve gradual allocation of … investment among several alternatives whose values are subject to exogenous shocks. The decision-maker's payoff is determined by … broad range of cases it is optimal for the decision-maker in each time period to allocate all resources to the most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158033
We explore the idea that judgment by representativeness reflects the workings of episodic memory, especially interference. In a new laboratory experiment on cued recall, participants are shown two groups of images with different distributions of colors. We find that i) decreasing the frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889953
The appeal of expected utility theory as a basis for a descriptive model of risky decision making has diminished is a … parametric model of risky decision making. Our results suggest that models which provide for probability transformations are most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760030
This paper examines experiments on interdependent security prisoner's dilemma games with repeated play. By utilizing a Bayesian hierarchical model, we examine how subjects make investment decisions as a function of their previous experience and their treatment condition. Our main findings are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224436
Hedge fund managers are compensated via management fees on the assets under management (AUM) and incentive fees indexed to the high-water mark (HWM). We study the effects of managerial skills (alpha) and compensation on dynamic leverage choices and the valuation of fees and investors' payoffs....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128908
This paper develops a framework for analyzing transactions that transfer a company's controlling block from an existing controller to a new controller. This framework is used to compare the market rule, which is followed in the United States, with the equal opportunity rule, which prevails in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139247
The expected time- and risk-adjusted cumulative return on any asset equals one at all horizons. Nonetheless, I show that a typical asset's realized time- and risk-adjusted cumulative return tends to zero almost surely. As a corollary, the value of a typical long-dated asset is driven by extreme...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139893