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-cycle-frequency fluctuations in unemployment and job vacancies in response to shocks of a plausible magnitude. In the U.S., the vacancy-unemployment … vacancy-unemployment ratio and labor productivity have nearly the same variance. I establish this claim both using analytical … small movement along a downward sloping Beveridge curve (unemployment-vacancy locus). A shock to the job destruction rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218505
and Sweden). We conduct inference with mixed frequency data, combining quarterly series for unemployment, vacancies, GDP …, consumption, and investment, with annual data on unemployment flows. Parameters and shocks are estimated separately for each … country, which can then vary in terms of search and hiring costs, workers' bargaining power, unemployment benefits levels …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114011
sharp increase in the incidence of long-term unemployment (LTU) during the Great Recession. We first show that compositional … shifts in demographics, occupation, industry, region, and the reason for unemployment jointly account for very little of the … model that allows for duration dependence in the exit rate from unemployment and for transitions between employment (E …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051310
Fluctuations in the equilibrium rate of unemployment can only be understood within a theory of the natural or … equilibrium rate. It is not enough to say that unemployment is the difference between supply and demand in the labor market … themselves better off. At the equilibrium unemployment rate, employers cannot obtain labor at lower cost by offering work at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247212
. In the context of such a model, we introduce a measure of unemployment and analyze its equilibrium behavior. We show that … unemployment rate, in a way qualitatively consistent with the evidence. The model stresses the role of countercyclical markups in … the goods market as a key mechanism underlying the countercyclical behavior of unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013217603
A search and matching model, when calibrated to the mean and volatility of unemployment in the postwar sample, can … potentially explain the large unemployment dynamics in the Great Depression. The limited response of wages to labor market … conditions from credible bargaining and the congestion externality from matching frictions cause the unemployment rate to rise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079211
Recent critiques have demonstrated that existing attempts to account for the unemployment volatility puzzle of search … reproduces the observed fluctuations in unemployment because hiring a worker is a risky investment with long-duration surplus … benefit from creating new matches greatly drops, leading to a large decline in job vacancies and an increase in unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857716
Unemployment inflows fell from 4 percent of employment per month in the early 1980s to 2 percent or less by the mid … parameter in search and matching models of unemployment. According to these models, a lower intensity of idiosyncratic shocks … produces less job destruction, fewer workers flowing through the unemployment pool and less frictional unemployment. To …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012758431
equivalent workers fall sharply as unemployment duration progresses. We use the model to quantitatively assess the consequences … of such employer behavior for job finding rates and long term unemployment and find only modest effects given the large … dependence and long term unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012930343
unemployment. We show that heterogeneity, reflecting differences in match quality and worker assets, reduces the extent of … fluctuations in separations and unemployment. We find that the model faces a trade-off--it cannot produce both realistic dispersion … in wage growth across workers and realistic cyclical fluctuations in unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311946