Showing 1 - 10 of 41
a simple extension of the long-run risk model … risks. Portfolios hedging macro uncertainty have historically earned zero or even significantly positive returns, while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224964
will understate volatility and increase risk-adjusted performance measures such as the Sharpe ratio. We propose an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762841
A large literature following Hirsch (2005) has proposed citation-based indexes that could be used to rank academics. This paper examines how well several such indexes match labor market outcomes using data on the citation records of young tenured economists at 25 U.S. departments. Variants of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137591
usual relationship between risk and consumption. In particular, we present a model where the presence of plausible … adjustment costs can cause a mean-preserving increase in unemployment risk to lead to increased consumption. The predictions of … risk as their unemployment shocks are more highly correlated. Such couples spend more on owner-occupied housing than other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012755650
risk and return in the stock market. This finding is robust in subsamples, to asymmetric specifications of the variance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012755732
We demonstrate, using data for the period 1954-2003, that differences in exposure to consumption risk explains cross … calendar year return when computing the latter's exposure to consumption risk. We find strong support for our consumption risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762530
A key criticism of the existing empirical literature on the risk-return relation relates to the relatively small amount …, measures of conditional mean and conditional volatility--and ultimately the risk-return relation itself--will be misspecified … that three new factors, a quot;volatility,quot; quot;risk premium,quot; and quot;realquot; factor, contain important …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012750681
We investigate whether stock markets efficiently price risks brought on or exacerbated by climate change. We focus on drought, the most damaging natural disaster for crops and food-company cash flows. We show that prolonged drought in a country, measured by the Palmer Drought Severity Index...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978090
MBS earn risk premia as compensation for their exposure to prepayment risk. We measure prepayment risk and estimate … security risk loadings using real data on prepayment forecasts vs. realizations. Estimated loadings are monotonic in securities … investors. In particular, we find convincing evidence that prepayment risk prices change sign over time with the sign of a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978841
, labor, and financial economics. Using administrative data, we document how the aggregate risk exposure of individual …The magnitude of and heterogeneity in systematic earnings risk has important implications for various theories in macro … earnings to GDP and stock returns varies across gender, age, the worker's earnings level, and industry. Aggregate risk exposure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963164