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Simple regression tests that have power against the alternatives that. asset prices and expected future asset returns are excessively volatile are developed and performed for the foreign exchange and stock markets. These tests have a number of advantages over alternative, variance hounds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012786275
. Assuming that news has only country specific autocorrelation such as a heat wave. any intra-daily volatility spillovers (meteor …. Using a volatility type of vector autoregression we examine the impact of news in one market on the time path of volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762800
This paper evaluates the impact of tapering “news” announcements by Fed senior policy makers on financial markets in emerging economies. We apply a panel framework using daily data, and find that emerging market asset prices respond most to statements by Fed Chairman Bernanke, and much less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056858
In this paper we examine the relationship between exchange rate movements and firm value. We estimate the exchange rate exposure of publicly listed firms in a sample of eight (non-US) industrialized and emerging markets, and find that a significant percentage of these firms are indeed exposed....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013248395
volatility through time. We are particularly interested in understanding whether periods of high volatility are correlated across … countries. The analysis uses both on univariate and bivariate switching volatility models. Our results do not rely on the … correlation coefficients, but on the co-dependence of volatility regimes. The results indicate that high-volatility episodes are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787582
findings have implications for market-wide volatility - the model-implied correlations alone can explain 44% of the cross …-section of aggregate volatility. The results are robust to controlling for a number of alternative factors put forth by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017087
in emerging countries tend to have shorter duration and larger amplitude and volatility than in developed countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013230763
stock price reaction to news, and hence lowering the stock return volatility. Thus, in addition to uncertainty about … fundamentals, uncertainty about CEO quality is also a source of stock return volatility, which decreases over a CEO's tenure as the …'s prospects. Overall, uncertainty about management quality appears to be an important source of stock return volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085131
volatility over the next month, but with decreasing realized volatility. These predictability patterns are consistent with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073570
Large long-run swings in the United States stock market over the past century correspond to swings in estimates of fundamental values calculated by using a long moving average of past dividend growth to forecast future growth rates. Such a procedure would have been reasonable if investors were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787482