Showing 1 - 10 of 92
probability of disaster leads to a collapse of investment and a recession, an increase in risk spreads, and a decrease in the … shocks to aggregate uncertainty, I introduce a small, time-varying risk of economic disaster in a standard real business … risk of disaster does not affect the path of macroeconomic aggregates - a "separation theorem" between macroeconomic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150731
To analyze business fixed investment in Japan, which has been unusually volatile in recent years, we develop and apply … a loglinear flexible accelerator model. We find that movements in business fixed investment are consistent with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137602
of 2007 as its only impulse - produces time series for aggregate labor usage, consumption, investment, and real GDP that … closely resemble actual U.S. time series. Despite having no explicit financial market, the model has investment fall steeply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120207
This paper studies the interaction between capital reallocation and business cycles. Capital reallocation is pro-cyclical and leads to variations in measured aggregate productivity. Using a simulated method of moments approach, different sources of aggregate fluctuations are studied to assess...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071893
We propose an empirical implementation of the consumption-investment problem using the martingale representation … simplifies the investor's task of specifying the investment opportunity set and inherits the computational convenience of the … and probabilities, which generate variation in consumption, and the consumption smoothing induced by risk aversion. Using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012772381
We develop a model of investment with financial constraints and use it to investigate the relation between investment … between q and investment, relative to the frictionless benchmark. We present a calibrated version of the model, which, due to … this effect, generates realistic correlations between investment, q, and cash flow …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776954
Spontaneous shifts in output originating within the business sector are an important factor in aggregate fluctuations. This paper develops a simple two-component decomposition of the movement of real GNP. One component is the path that GNP would have followed in order to deliver the volume of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760156
We use more than one century of Argentine and Mexican data to estimate the structural parameters of a small-open-economy real-business-cycle model driven by nonstationary productivity shocks. We find that the RBC model does a poor job at explaining business cycles in emerging countries. We then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760602
rigidities: investment adjustment costs, variable capacity utilization, habit formation in consumption, and habit formation in … investment-specific shocks, and government spending shocks. Each of these shocks is buffeted by four types of structural …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770680
The investment theory, in which the expected return varies cross-sectionally with investment, expected profitability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012823391