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Projected demographic changes in industrialized and developing countries vary in extent and timing but will reduce the share of the population in working age everywhere. Conventional wisdom suggests that this will increase capital intensity with falling rates of return to capital and increasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085913
This paper uses simulations to explore the properties of the HP filter of Hodrick and Prescott (1997), the BK filter of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841423
stochastic simulation. One can estimate, for example, the probability of a recession occurring within some fixed period in the … present procedure is that the probabilities estimated from the stochastic simulation are objective in the sense that they are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776706
normal critical values will yield actual sizes close to, but a little less than, nominal size. Simulation evidence supports …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778361
This paper specifies a new convenient algorithm to construct policy projections conditional on alternative anticipated policy-rate paths in linearized dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models, such as Ramses, the Riksbank's main DSGE model. Such projections with anticipated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757526
accurate and low cost computational techniques which would permit extensive use of simulation methodology. Large samples are … simulation results. This paper investigates the tradeoffs available between computational accuracy and cost in simulation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760360
alternative theories, the common message is that basing investment decisions on the past performance of emerging markets is likely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763668
We characterize and demonstrate a solution method for an optimal commodity (sales) tax problem consisting of multiple goods, heterogeneous agents, and a nonconvex policy maker optimization problem. Our approach allows for more dimensions of heterogeneity than has been previously possible,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053844
About 20% of German workers retire on disability pensions. Disability pensions provide fairly generous benefits for those who are not already age-eligible for an old-age pension and who are deemed unable to work for health reasons. In this paper, we use two sets of individual survey data to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059094
How much additional tax revenue can the government generate by increasing labor income taxes? In this paper we provide a quantitative answer to this question, and study the importance of the progressivity of the tax schedule for the ability of the government to generate tax revenues. We develop...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043624