Stock return volatility during the Great Depression has been labeled a “volatility puzzle” because the standard …, and Jones; 1990). We investigate the “volatility puzzle” using a new series of building permits, a forward-looking measure … of economic activity. Our results suggest that the volatility of building permit growth largely explains the high level …

role for credit growth (beyond its role in constructing the inflation forecast) would reduce the volatility of output and …

In a sample of 110 countries over the period 1960-2009, we document a positive relation between the volatility and … with recent theories of financial frictions. The positive relation between volatility and skewness in the cross-section is …

We show that volatility movements have first-order implications for consumption dynamics and asset prices. Volatility … news affects the stochastic discount factor and carries a separate risk premium. In the data, volatility risks are … aggregate wealth and the cross-sectional differences in risk premia. Estimation of our volatility risks based model yields an …

The remarkable decline in macroeconomic volatility experienced by the U.S. economy since the mid-80s (the so … to identified shocks. Among other changes, our findings point to (i) an increase in the volatility of hours relative to … output, (ii) a shrinking contribution of non-technology shocks to output volatility, and (iii) a change in the cyclical …

In this paper we investigate the sources of the important shifts in the volatility of U.S. macroeconomic variables in … the postwar period. To this end, we propose the estimation of DSGE models allowing for time variation in the volatility of … investment specific technology shocks account for most of the sharp decline in volatility of the last two decades …

Does macroeconomic volatility/uncertainty affects accumulation of net foreign assets? In OECD economies over the period … 1970-2012, changes in country specific aggregate volatility are, after controlling for a wide array of factors …, significantly positively associated with net foreign asset position. An increase in volatility (measured as the standard deviation …

Recent critiques have demonstrated that existing attempts to account for the unemployment volatility puzzle of search … volatility of risk-free rates. We propose a model that is immune to these critiques and solves this puzzle by allowing for …