Stock return volatility during the Great Depression has been labeled a “volatility puzzle” because the standard …, and Jones; 1990). We investigate the “volatility puzzle” using a new series of building permits, a forward-looking measure … of economic activity. Our results suggest that the volatility of building permit growth largely explains the high level …

This paper explores whether affine models with volatility jumps estimated on intradaily S&P 500 futures data over 1983 … typically small, and that self-exciting but short-lived volatility spikes capture intradaily and daily returns better …

shocks using methods from the news shocks literature, the analysis finds that innovations in realized stock market volatility … economy. Moreover, investors have historically paid large premia to hedge shocks to realized but not implied volatility. A … model in which fundamental shocks are skewed left can match those facts. Aggregate volatility matters, but it is the …

the associations of growth level, growth volatility, shocks, institutions, and macroeconomic fundamentals have changed in … growth, global oil prices, and global financial volatility. After accounting for the effects global shocks, we find that … attainment, and lack of political polarization reduce the volatility of economic growth. Countries cope with shocks better in the …

volatility of economic fluctuations. In a sample of 92 countries as well as a sample of OECD countries, we find that countries … with higher volatility have lower growth. The addition of standard control variables strengthens the negative relationship …. We also find that government spending-induced volatility is negatively associated with growth even after controlling for …

This overview introduces and summarizes the findings of a practical volume on managing volatility and crises. The … volatility leading to large output and economic growth costs, especially in poor countries. In these circumstances, good times do … cope with volatility also drive crises. Hence, the volume also focuses on the prevention and management of crises. It is a …

role for credit growth (beyond its role in constructing the inflation forecast) would reduce the volatility of output and …

In a sample of 110 countries over the period 1960-2009, we document a positive relation between the volatility and … with recent theories of financial frictions. The positive relation between volatility and skewness in the cross-section is …

growth and volatility in developing countries. The results suggest that it is difficult to establish a robust causal …