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interest rates by critically surveying theories about (a) optimal anticipated inflation, (b) optimal unanticipated inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324140
We study how changes in the value of the steady-state real interest rate affect the optimal inflation target, both in …-for-one: increases in the optimal inflation rate are generally lower than declines in the steady-state real interest rate. Our approach … allows us not only to assess the uncertainty surrounding the optimal inflation target, but also to determine the latter while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927026
This paper considers whether 'liquidity trap' issues have important bearing on the desirability of inflation targeting … 'indeterminacy' dangers are created by variants of inflation targeting, the latter when forecasts of future inflation enter the … variable can still be the inflation rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222228
Standard discussions of flexible inflation targeting as an optimal monetary policy abstract completely from the … consequences of monetary policy for the government budget. But at least some of the countries now adopting inflation targeting have … substantial difficulty in controlling fiscal imbalances, so that the additional strains resulting from strict control of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238733
determine inflation in this regime, so I base the analysis on the fiscal theory of the price level. I find that monetary policy … can peg the nominal rate, and determine expected inflation. With sticky prices, monetary policy can also affect real … interest rates and output, though higher interest rates raise output and then inflation. The conventional sign requires a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044987
In this paper I focus on two specific hazard areas in the transition from Stage Two to Stage Three of European economic and monetary union (EMU), as well as on some key problems of Stage Three that EMU's monetary and fiscal structures appear ill-prepared to handle. The transitional hazards are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235280
. Inflation may be positive throughout, so the absence of deflation is not evidence against a liquidity trap. Output, on the other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120966
current and future inflation innovations to revalue government debt, reducing reliance on distorting taxes; (2) the role of … inflation in optimal fiscal financing increases with the average maturity of government debt; (3) as average maturity rises, it … is optimal to tradeoff inflation for output stabilization; (4) inflation is relatively more important as a fiscal shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072342
We develop the theory of price-level determination in a range of models using both ad hoc policy rules and jointly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001761
common monetary authority chooses inflation for the union, also without commitment. We first describe the existence of a … wisdom that all countries should prefer a union with low-debt members, as such a union can credibly deliver low inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050319