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Russia's Fiscal Gap
Goryunov, Eugene - 2013
future receipts is called its fiscal gap.This study estimates Russia's 2013 fiscal gap at 890 trillion rubles or $28 trillion …. This longterm budget shortfall is 8.4 percent of the present value of projected GDP. Consequently, eliminating Russia … that the Russia's energy resources are finite, whereas its expenditure needs are not. Moreover, Russia is aging and facing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073203
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Monetary and Fiscal Stimuli, Ownership Structure, and China's Housing Market
Deng, Yongheng - 2011
In the recent financial crisis, macroeconomic stimuli produced mixed results across developed economies. In contrast, China's stimulus boosted real GDP growth from an annualized 6.2% in the first quarter of 2009 trough to 11.9% in the first quarter of 2010. Amidst this phenomenal response, land...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128599
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Fiscal Limits in Advanced Economies
Leeper, Eric M. - 2011
Aging populations in advanced economies are placing ever-increasing demands on government spending in the form of old-age benefits. Economies that have promised substantially more benefits than they have made provision to finance are heading into a prolonged era of fiscal stress. Unresolved...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129132
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Monetary and Fiscal Remedies for Deflation
Auerbach, Alan J. - 2011
Prevalent thinking about liquidity traps suggests that the perfect substitutability of money and bonds at a zero short-term nominal interest rate renders open-market operations ineffective for achieving macroeconomic stabilization goals. In an earlier paper, we showed that this reasoning does...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133109
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Is the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level Learnable?
McCallum, Bennett T. - 2010
This paper presents a prototype model for development of the fiscal theory of the price level.' In this simple setting, the fiscal theory's distinctiveness relies upon adoption of a bubble solution, rather than the rational-expectations fundamentals solution. The paper then shows that the fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136352
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Liquidity Traps : An Interest-Rate-Based Exit Strategy
Schmitt-Grohé, Stephanie - 2010
This paper analyzes a potential strategy for escaping liquidity traps. The strategy is based on an augmented Taylor-type interest-rate feedback rule and differs from usual specifications in that when inflation falls below a threshold, the central bank temporarily deviates from the traditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136358
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Monetary Science, Fiscal Alchemy
Leeper, Eric M. - 2010
Monetary policy decisions tend to be based on systematic analysis of alternative policy choices and their associated macroeconomic impacts: this is science. Fiscal policy choices, in contrast, spring from unsystematic speculation, grounded more in politics than economics: this is alchemy. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136545
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U.S. Monetary and Fiscal Policy in the 1930s
Fishback, Price V. - 2010
The paper provides a survey of fiscal and monetary policies during the 1930s under the Hoover and Roosevelt Administrations and how they influenced the policies during the recent Great Recession. The discussion of the causal impacts of monetary policy focuses on papers written in the last decade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136747
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Gold Sterilization and the Recession of 1937-38
Irwin, Douglas A. - 2011
The Recession of 1937-38 is often cited as illustrating the dangers of withdrawing fiscal and monetary stimulus too early in a weak recovery. Yet our understanding of this severe downturn is incomplete: existing studies find that changes in fiscal policy were small in comparison to the magnitude...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118416
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Clearing Up the Fiscal Multiplier Morass
Leeper, Eric M. - 2011
Bayesian prior predictive analysis of five nested DSGE models suggests that model specifications and prior distributions tightly circumscribe the range of possible government spending multipliers. Multipliers are decomposed into wealth and substitution effects, yielding uniform comparisons...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120209