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Evaluating inflation-targeting monetary policy is more complicated than checking whether inflation has been on target …, because inflation control is imperfect and flexible inflation targeting means that deviations from target may be deliberate in … variability of the inflation-gap and output-gap forecasts can be used to evaluate policy ex ante, that is, taking into account the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150832
We study how changes in the value of the steady-state real interest rate affect the optimal inflation target, both in …-for-one: increases in the optimal inflation rate are generally lower than declines in the steady-state real interest rate. Our approach … allows us not only to assess the uncertainty surrounding the optimal inflation target, but also to determine the latter while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927026
target inflation. We find that when the government cannot commit to its policies, the greater transparency of the exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238694
This paper makes changes in monetary policy rules (or regimes) endogenous. Changes are triggered when certain endogenous variables cross specified thresholds. Rational expectations equilibria are examined in three models of threshold switching to illustrate that (i) expectations formation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012754154
We describe some of the main features of the recent vintage macroeconomic models used for monetary policy evaluation. We point to some of the key differences with respect to the earlier generation of macro models, and highlight the insights for policy that these new frameworks have to offer. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759756
crisis, modeled as a situation where the fiscal outlook is inconsistent with both stable inflation and no sovereign default …'s balance sheet can interfere with each of these channels, stabilizing inflation and economic activity. The power of QE comes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012986689
determine inflation in this regime, so I base the analysis on the fiscal theory of the price level. I find that monetary policy … can peg the nominal rate, and determine expected inflation. With sticky prices, monetary policy can also affect real … interest rates and output, though higher interest rates raise output and then inflation. The conventional sign requires a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044987
In a recent paper, Canzoneri, Henderson, and Rogoff have shown that it is possible for the monetary authority to peg the nominal interest rate without creating price level indeterminacy in a simplified version of the 1975 Sargent-Wallace model. The present paper begins by reviewing that result,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219333
This paper reconsiders a result obtained by Sargent and Wallace, namely, that price level indeterminacy obtains in their well-known model if the monetary authorities adopt a policy feedback rule for the interest rate rather than the money stock. Since the Federal Reserve seems often to have used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219724
This paper investigates the hypothesis that surprise changes in the money supply and anticipated inflation (the Mundell … surprises and expected real interest or an inverse relationship between anticipated inflation and expected real interest. These …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211690