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In models with complete markets, targeting core inflation enables monetary policy to maximize welfare by replicating … stabilize price movements in the flexible price sector. Also, in the presence of financial frictions, stabilizing core inflation … frictions a welfare-maximizing central bank should adopt flexible headline inflation targeting--a target based on headline …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133080
labor markets employment and output are decreasing and inflation is initially increasing and then decreasing in the degree … of central bank conservatism. A radical-populist central banker who cares not at all about inflation (alternatively, who …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249145
solutions such as the conservative central banker and optimal inflation contracts. Our theoretical model also shows how an … inflation targeting range should be set and how it should respond to changes in the nature of shocks to the economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012779650
Japan suffered a very high inflation rate in 1973-74. The CPI inflation rate rose to near 30% in 1974, the highest rate …, the oil crisis is blamed for the 1973-74 high inflation. However, due to monetary policy decisions in 1972-73, the … inflation rate had already exceeded 10% before the onset of the oil crisis in October 1973. These decisions include the interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148095
. Deflation subsided by 2005. As soon as inflation appeared to stabilize near a rate of zero, the Bank of Japan rapidly reduced …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149980
The perceptions of a central bank's inflation aversion may reflect institutional structure or, more dynamically, the … for persistent variation in market perceptions of central bank inflation aversion. The first years of the European Central … the ECB during its first six years of operation significantly evolved, with a belief in its inflation aversion increasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012761892
Reserve and commercial inflation forecasts. We demonstrate that the Federal Reserve has considerable information about … inflation beyond what is known to commercial forecasters. We also provide evidence that monetary policy actions provide signals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218719
This paper reviews alternative options for monetary policy when the short-term interest rate is at the zero lower bound and develops new empirical estimates of the effects of the maturity structure of publicly held debt on the term structure of interest rates. We use a model of risk-averse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127013
determine inflation in this regime, so I base the analysis on the fiscal theory of the price level. I find that monetary policy … can peg the nominal rate, and determine expected inflation. With sticky prices, monetary policy can also affect real … interest rates and output, though higher interest rates raise output and then inflation. The conventional sign requires a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044987
sustained inflation are small relative to the costs of unemployment. If a temporary reduction in unemployment causes a permanent … increase in inflation, the present value of the resulting future welfare costs may well exceed the temporary short-run gain …. Previous analyses have underestimated the cost of a permanent increase in the inflation rate because they have ignored the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218841