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solutions such as the conservative central banker and optimal inflation contracts. Our theoretical model also shows how an … inflation targeting range should be set and how it should respond to changes in the nature of shocks to the economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012779650
We study how changes in the value of the steady-state real interest rate affect the optimal inflation target, both in …-for-one: increases in the optimal inflation rate are generally lower than declines in the steady-state real interest rate. Our approach … allows us not only to assess the uncertainty surrounding the optimal inflation target, but also to determine the latter while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927026
This paper makes changes in monetary policy rules (or regimes) endogenous. Changes are triggered when certain endogenous variables cross specified thresholds. Rational expectations equilibria are examined in three models of threshold switching to illustrate that (i) expectations formation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012754154
determine inflation in this regime, so I base the analysis on the fiscal theory of the price level. I find that monetary policy … can peg the nominal rate, and determine expected inflation. With sticky prices, monetary policy can also affect real … interest rates and output, though higher interest rates raise output and then inflation. The conventional sign requires a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044987
In this paper I focus on two specific hazard areas in the transition from Stage Two to Stage Three of European economic and monetary union (EMU), as well as on some key problems of Stage Three that EMU's monetary and fiscal structures appear ill-prepared to handle. The transitional hazards are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235280
In a recent paper, Canzoneri, Henderson, and Rogoff have shown that it is possible for the monetary authority to peg the nominal interest rate without creating price level indeterminacy in a simplified version of the 1975 Sargent-Wallace model. The present paper begins by reviewing that result,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219333
This paper reconsiders a result obtained by Sargent and Wallace, namely, that price level indeterminacy obtains in their well-known model if the monetary authorities adopt a policy feedback rule for the interest rate rather than the money stock. Since the Federal Reserve seems often to have used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219724
draw some implications for timing between monetary expansion and inflation, inter-country comparisons of inflation rates … lead inflation in the sense that money Granger-causes prices without feedback, contradicting an implication of the monetary … of inflation during the fixed exchange rate period, providing no evidence for a generalized "law of one price." (3) Some …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220970
inflation and persistence in output. The key features of our model are those that prevent a sharp rise in marginal costs after …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223053
monetary policymaking. First, we discuss why trimmed means provide the best measure of core inflation. Second, we outline how … rigidities impede policymakers' ability to control inflation. And third, we describe how alternative shock/rigidity combinations … create inflation's grease (whereby it improves economic efficiency by speeding adjustment) and sand effects (whereby it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223871