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returns by aggregate investment and valuation ratios; and v) a downward sloping term structure of risk premia for dividend … firm characteristics - Tobin's Q, past investment, earnings-price ratios, market betas, and idiosyncratic volatility of … the firm's exposure to IST shocks and risk premia. Our calibrated model replicates: i) the predictability of returns by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107998
probability of disaster leads to a collapse of investment and a recession, an increase in risk spreads, and a decrease in the … shocks to aggregate uncertainty, I introduce a small, time-varying risk of economic disaster in a standard real business … risk of disaster does not affect the path of macroeconomic aggregates - a "separation theorem" between macroeconomic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150731
I study irreversible investment decisions when projects take time to complete, and are subject to two types of …, and materials that will ultimately be required to complete the project, and that is only resolved as the investment … required, and which is external to the firm's investment activity. I derive a simple decision rule that maximizes the firm …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774773
We re-examine the basic investment problem of deciding when to incur a sunk cost to obtain a stochastically fluctuating … benefit. The optimal investment rule satisfies a trade-off between a larger versus a later net benefit; we show that this … demand curve. We reinterpret the optimal investment rule as a markup formula involving an elasticity that has exactly the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774956
Japan's macroeconomic performance, as reflected by impulse response functions for investment, employment and output. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955957
This study uncovers a statistically significant negative correlation between volatility and private investment over the … number of different measures, volatility reduces private investment in developing countries. We then show that the … continue to hold even if the coefficient of relative risk aversion approaches zero (that is, even if the marginal utility of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763700
find that policy uncertainty raises stock price volatility and reduces investment and employment in policy … foreshadow declines in investment, output, and employment in the United States and, in a panel VAR setting, for 12 major …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003270
investment; the impact of uncertainty on investment occurs primarily through changes in credit spreads; and innovations in credit … spreads have a strong effect on investment, irrespective of the level of uncertainty. These findings raise a question … financial shocks. By influencing the effective supply of credit, both types of shocks exert a powerful effect on investment and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055504
We develop an integrated theory of investment, seasoned equity offerings (SEOs), liquidation, and corporate savings … payout policies. Facing costly external financing, the firm prefers to fund its investment internally, so that its optimal … substantial delay in investment; (4) A financially constrained firm over-invests in early stages of its life-cycle in an effort to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044990
A recent literature suggests that because investment expenditures are irreversible and can be delayed, they may be … aggregate investment. We find that the volatility of the marginal profitability of capital - a summary measure of uncertainty … - affects investment as the theory suggests, but the size of the effect is moderate, and is greatest for developing countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222915