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This study uncovers a statistically significant negative correlation between volatility and private investment over the … number of different measures, volatility reduces private investment in developing countries. We then show that the … continue to hold even if the coefficient of relative risk aversion approaches zero (that is, even if the marginal utility of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763700
find that policy uncertainty raises stock price volatility and reduces investment and employment in policy … foreshadow declines in investment, output, and employment in the United States and, in a panel VAR setting, for 12 major …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003270
future oil price volatility derived from the NYMEX futures options market. Using a dynamic model of firms' investment problem …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135876
We argue that positive co-movements between land prices and business investment are a driving force behind the broad … joint dynamics of land prices and business investment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068043
We propose an empirical implementation of the consumption-investment problem using the martingale representation … simplifies the investor's task of specifying the investment opportunity set and inherits the computational convenience of the … and probabilities, which generate variation in consumption, and the consumption smoothing induced by risk aversion. Using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012772381
We use the World Bank decomposition of aggregate investment shares into their private and public components to test for … the correlation between volatility and investment in a set of developing countries. We uncover a statistically significant … negative correlation between various volatility measures and private investment, even when adding the standard control …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774961
Spontaneous shifts in output originating within the business sector are an important factor in aggregate fluctuations. This paper develops a simple two-component decomposition of the movement of real GNP. One component is the path that GNP would have followed in order to deliver the volume of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760156
We use more than one century of Argentine and Mexican data to estimate the structural parameters of a small-open-economy real-business-cycle model driven by nonstationary productivity shocks. We find that the RBC model does a poor job at explaining business cycles in emerging countries. We then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760602
We review evidence on the Great Moderation in conjunction with evidence about volatility trends at the micro level. We combine the two types of evidence to develop a tentative story for important components of the aggregate volatility decline and its consequences. The key ingredients are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012771783
The investment theory, in which the expected return varies cross-sectionally with investment, expected profitability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012823391