Showing 1 - 10 of 366
empirically controversial. We apply theory and empirics to the interwar data and find strong support for the logic of the trilemma …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012755788
The literature has shown that the implied welfare gains from international financial integration are very small. We revisit the existing findings and document that welfare gains can be substantial if capital goods are not perfect substitutes. We use a model of optimal savings that includes a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012758019
The rise of offshoring of intermediate inputs raises important questions for commercial policy. Do the distinguishing features of offshoring introduce novel reasons for trade policy intervention? Does offshoring create new problems of global policy cooperation whose solutions require...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012758452
We show that quot;commodity currencyquot; exchange rates have remarkably robust power in predicting global commodity prices, both in-sample and out-of-sample, and against a variety of alternative benchmarks. This result is of particular interest to policymakers, given the lack of deep forward...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759436
Countries that are more engaged in production sharing exhibit higher bilateral manufacturing output correlations. We use data on trade flows between US multinationals and their affiliates as well as trade between the United States and Mexican maquiladoras to measure production-sharing trade and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759633
Falling costs of coordination and communication have allowed firms in rich countries to fragment their production process and offshore an increasing share of the value chain to low-wage countries. Popular discussions about the aggregate impact of this phenomenon on rich countries have stressed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759968
In this paper we consider a home government with political pressure to restrict trade, at the expense of foreigners. The foreign country is compensated with an income transfer, which can be thought of as a portion of the tariff revenues or quota rents. In this setting the two countries should...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760276
We ask what level of migration would maximize world welfare. We find that skill-neutral policies are never optimal. An egalitarian welfare function induces a policy that entails moving mainly unskilled immigrants into the rich countries, whereas a welfare function skewed highly towards the rich...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760411
I study a small open economy in which elections affect and are affected by capital inflows. Two candidates, one favoring workers and another favoring entrepreneurs, run for office; the winner chooses taxes, which affect investment returns. A pro labor victory results in a quot;sudden stopquot; in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760719
thought not, and theory offers ambiguous messages. A hard exchange-rate regime such as the gold standard might limit monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012761895