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The most important conclusion of this paper is that the growth rate of the money supply influences the U.S. inflation …, help to explain why U.S. inflation was so low in 1976 and why it accelerated so rapidly in 1978. Granger causality tests … indicate that lagged exchange rate changes influence inflation, but lagged inflation does not cause exchange rate changes. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224206
theory, the paper examines the link between openness and inflation using cross-country data. The data reveal a strong … of precommitment in monetary policy leads to excessive inflation. Because unanticipated monetary expansion leads to real … inflation will be lower in more open economies. After presenting a simple theoretical model demonstrating this prediction of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210693
reforms may cause jumps in inflation and the exchange rate through their impact on the government budget. In order to achieve … a sustainable reduction in inflation an exchange rate freeze or crawling peg is shown to require restrictions not only …-collapse inflation will exceed the rate prevailing before the freeze started …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013246289
inflation and unemployment among EMS members since the late 1970s. This paper presents new empirical evidence for this … inflation countries -- France and Italy -- have experienced a decrease in tolerance for inflation relative to unemployment …. Germany and other low inflation countries, in contrast, appear to have experienced a decrease in tolerance for unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249159
ante wage indexation speeds up disinflation. With expost indexation the real wage automatically rises when the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013248714
The appreciation of the U.S. dollar over the past five years opens important areas of research. The fact of a large and persistent real appreciation poses a challenge for equilibrium theorists to uncover the change in fundamentals and seems to support the role of long-term wage contracts in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013230206
We develop an empirical model of exchange rate returns, applied separately to samples of developed (DM) and developing (EM) economies' currencies against the dollar. Monetary policy stance of the global central banks, measured via a natural-language-based approach, has a large effect on exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889481
draw some implications for timing between monetary expansion and inflation, inter-country comparisons of inflation rates … lead inflation in the sense that money Granger-causes prices without feedback, contradicting an implication of the monetary … of inflation during the fixed exchange rate period, providing no evidence for a generalized "law of one price." (3) Some …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220970
exchange rate that will prevail in any model or real world economy in which inflation indexed bonds are traded. An advantage of … yields on long maturity inflation - indexed bonds. This relationship can be interpreted as defining the fair value of the … take our theory to a dataset spanning the period January 2001 - February 2011 and study a daily , real time decompositions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087887
It is almost invariably taken for granted in theoretical descriptions of the international price mechanism and in the construction of trade models that a country's export price for a particular product is identical to its domestic price. Any impact of foreign or domestic events on prices is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221992