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towards increasing the opportunities for speculation rather than risk sharing …While the traditional view of financial innovation emphasizes the risk sharing role of new financial assets, belief … disagreements about these assets naturally lead to speculation, which represents a powerful economic force in the opposite direction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119601
We provide a continuous-time “risk-centric” representation of the New Keynesian model, which we use to analyze the … interactions between asset prices, financial speculation, and macro- economic outcomes when output is determined by aggregate … heterogeneous asset valuations) matter because they induce investors to speculate. This speculation exacerbates the crash by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951344
In a model with multiple Pareto-ranked equilibria we add trade in assets that pay based on the realization of a sunspot. Asset trading restricts the equilibrium set in a way that raises welfare by eliminating equilibria with a high likelihood of disasters. When the probability of a disaster is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031016
Climate change is real and dangerous. Exactly how bad it will get, however, is uncertain. Uncertainty is particularly relevant for estimates of one of the key parameters: equilibrium climate sensitivity—how eventual temperatures will react as atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations double....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013029035
reports on direct measures of preference parameters relating to risk tolerance, time preference, and intertemporal … of preference parameters display substantial heterogeneity. The majority of respondents fall into the least risk …-tolerant group, but a substantial minority display higher risk tolerance. The individual measures of intertemporal substitution and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210685
This is a summary and interpretation of some of the literature on stock price volatility that was stimulated by Leroy and Porter (1981) and Shiller (1981a). It appears that neither small sample bias, rational bubbles nor some standard models for expected returns adequately explain stock price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141042
due to risk-sharing. But when it is large, expected return initially increases but then decreases with beta. High beta …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097774
crude oil, but our approach can be appliedto other commodities. We explain the meaning of "oil price speculation," how it …). Turningto the data, we calculate counterfactual prices that would have occurred from 1999 to 2012 in the absenceof speculation … commodity. It lets us determine whether speculation is consistentwith data on production, consumption, inventory changes, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083410
We analyze a new class of equilibria that emerges when a central bank conducts monetary policy by setting an interest rate (as an arbitrary function of its available information) and letting the private sector set the quantity traded. These equilibria involve a run on the central bank's interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085500
common practice of categorically classifying trading by hedgers as hedging while trading by speculators as speculation, as … speculation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072576