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We develop and test an economic theory of insurgency motivated by the informal literature and by recent military doctrine. We model a three-way contest between violent rebels, a government seeking to minimize violence by mixing service provision and coercion, and civilians deciding whether to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313269
Research on the effects of Vietnam military service suggests that Vietnam veterans experienced significantly higher … mortality than both non-Vietnam veterans and the civilian population at large. These results, however, may be biased by non …. The present study generates unbiased estimates of the causal impact of Vietnam era draft eligibility on male mortality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158538
We investigate the impact of U.S. bombing on later economic development in Vietnam. The Vietnam War featured the most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244769
Prior researchers have deployed the Vietnam-era draft lottery as an instrument to estimate causal effects of military …: household and family life. In the present study we use the same IV approach to model the causal impact of Vietnam- era military …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131668
Research on insurgency has been invigorated this past decade by better data, improved methods, and the urgency of understanding active engagements in Iraq and Afghanistan. This empiricists' insurgency reinforces a classic literature on the essential role of civilians while challenging older...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024876
We develop a dynamic theory of resource wars and study the conditions under which such wars can be prevented. The interaction between the scarcity of resources and the incentives for war in the presence of limited commitment is at the center of our theory. We show that a key parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131444
Governments fighting terrorists have many tactical options, yet these options often yield unintended and counterproductive consequences. This paper models a terrorist organization, a religious group from which the terrorists recruit suicide bombers, and the society in which the terrorists are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134861
This paper explores new estimates of the number of veterans and the value of veterans' benefits -- both cash benefits and land grants -- from the Revolution to 1900. Benefits, it turns out, varied substantially from war to war. The veterans of the War of 1812, in particular, received a smaller...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759988
Conventional wisdom in economic history suggests that conflict between countries can be enormously disruptive of economic activity, especially international trade. We study the effects of war on bilateral trade with available data extending back to 1870. Using the gravity model, we estimate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762386
We analyze financial market data in order to produce an ex-ante assessment of the economic consequences of war with Iraq. The novel feature of our analysis derives from the existence of a market for Saddam Securities,' a new future traded on an online betting exchange that pays only if Saddam...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762835