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We argue that the Great Inflation experienced by both the United Kingdom and the United States in the 1970s has an … common doctrine underlying the systematic monetary policy choices in each country. The nonmonetary approach to inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757531
-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a … breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 recessions over the past 50 years … unemployment on inflation, for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011919
-sample estimation. In contrast to Orphanides (2002, 2003), I find that the Fed's response to the real-time forecast of inflation was … (2000). However, the response to inflation was strong before 1973 and gradually regained strength from the early 1980's …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225585
.K. regime (CPI inflation targeting combined with a floating exchange rate), and adoption of the euro, as monetary policy options …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757534
the trend inflation rate in the U.K. would have been reduced by more than one half if the Bank of England had not allowed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762757
We quantify the importance of non-monetary news in central bank communication. Using evidence from four major central banks and a comprehensive classification of events, we decompose news conveyed by central banks into news about monetary policy, economic growth, and separately, shocks to risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911101
In a standard open-economy New Keynesian model, the effective lower bound causes anomalies: output and terms of trade respond to a supply shock in the opposite direction compared to normal times. We introduce a tractable framework to accommodate for unconventional monetary policy. In our model,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012916610
I adapt the methods of Gurkaynak, Sack, and Swanson (2005) to estimate two dimensions of monetary policy during the 2009-2015 zero lower bound period in the U.S. I show that, after a suitable rotation, these two dimensions can be interpreted as "forward guidance" and "large-scale asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009914
In this paper I analyze the London Monetary and Economic Conference of 1933, an almost forgotten episode in U.S. monetary history. I study how the Conference shaped dollar policy during the second half of 1933 and early 1934. I use daily data to investigate the way in which the Conference and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962174
the adoption of inflation targeting. However, the recent financial crisis and the call for central banks to focus more on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043621