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an explicit role for unemployment and for household debt. We find that the model is capable of explaining several …This paper examines the relationship between household balance sheets, consumer purchases, and expectations. We find … few robust empirical relationships between balance sheet measures and spending, but we do find that unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247263
The goal of this chapter is to study how, and by how much, household income, wealth, and preference heterogeneity …, using data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, we document the patterns of household income, consumption and wealth …. Motivated by this evidence, we study several variants of a standard heterogeneous household model with aggregate shocks and an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989141
unemployment. The novel feature is that the scope for sunspot-driven volatility depends on the level of household wealth. When …Periods of low household wealth in United States macroeconomic history have also been periods of high business cycle … wealth is high, consumer demand is largely insensitive to unemployment expectations and the economy is robust to confidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027250
individual-pre-tax and household-post-tax earnings and across administrative (Social Security Administration) and survey (Panel … Study of Income Dynamics) data. We estimate two alternative processes for household after-tax earnings and study their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927027
When the zero lower bound on nominal interest rate binds, monetary policy makers may lack traditional tools to stimulate aggregate demand. We investigate whether "unconventional" fiscal policy, in the form of pre-announced consumption tax changes, has the potential to meaningfully shift durables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908479
We investigate the stochastic relation between income and consumption (specifically, consumption of food) within a panel of about 2,000 households. Our major findings are: 1. Consumption responds much more strongly to permanent than to transitory movements of income. 2. The response to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313805
varied dramatically across regions. House prices, consumption and unemployment remain below pre-crisis levels in about half …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322347
Although theoretical models of household behavior often emphasize fiscal foresight, empirical studies of household …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048045
is based on a comprehensive household-level transactions database matched with price information from store-level scanner … data, with a large and geographically diverse impact on household incomes over time. We estimate income and wealth effects … using “within” variation of income and wealth at the household level. Our estimates can be interpreted as income and wealth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017514
We provide empirical evidence on the dynamics effects of tax liability changes in the United States. We distinguish between surprise and anticipated tax changes using a timing-convention. We document that pre-announced but not yet implemented tax cuts give rise to contractions in output,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139130