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We define the notion of a 'de facto fiscal space' of a country as the inverse of the tax-years it would take to repay the public debt. Specifically, we measure the outstanding public debt relative to the de facto tax base, where the latter measures the realized tax collection, averaged across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135878
countries, (ii) the fiscal multiplier is relatively large in economies operating under predetermined exchange rates but is zero …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136746
The global financial crisis has permanently lowered the path of GDP in all advanced economies. At the same time, and in response to rising government debt levels, many of these countries have been engaging in fiscal consolidations that have had a negative impact on growth rates. We empirically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012987599
in 1941, particularly in the second half of that year. As a result our preferred government spending multiplier is 1 ….80 multiplier is relevant to situations like 2009-10 when capacity constraints are absent across the economy.Two sets of new …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137986
shocks, with military spending having the largest multiplier. Third, we show that controlling for predictable components of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138770
substitution effects, yielding uniform comparisons across models. By constraining the multiplier to tight ranges, model and prior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120209
analysis is that the question "what is the fiscal policy multiplier" is an ill-posed one. There is no unconditional fiscal … policy multiplier. The effect of fiscal policy on output is different depending on the different debt dynamics, the different … and an average fiscal multiplier is of very little use to describe the effect of exogenous shifts in fiscal policy on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121730
modestly negative long-run multipliers around -0.42. The multiplier is sensitive to the fraction of transfers given to credit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123984
We provide explicit solutions for government spending multipliers during a liquidity trap and within a fixed exchange regime using standard closed and open-economy models. We confirm the potential for large multipliers during liquidity traps. For a currency union, we show that self-financed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100679
A key question that has arisen during recent debates is whether government spending multipliers are larger during times when resources are idle. This paper seeks to shed light on this question by analyzing new quarterly historical data covering multiple large wars and depressions in the U.S. and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087434