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Risk and time are intertwined. The present is known while the future is inherently risky. Discounted expected utility … robust violations of discounted expected utility, inconsistent with both prospect theory probability weighting and models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138320
Climate change is real and dangerous. Exactly how bad it will get, however, is uncertain. Uncertainty is particularly relevant for estimates of one of the key parameters: equilibrium climate sensitivity—how eventual temperatures will react as atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations double....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013029035
expected utility (GEU) to the diversification of agents who maximize the conventional expected utility (EU). Specifically, we … derive the patterns of diversification for agents who maximize a rank-dependent' expected utility, attaching more weight to … bad' than to good' outcomes, in contrast to the probability weights used in a conventional expected utility maximization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774958
durable goods. We show that consumers' utility and discount functions in a dynamic discrete choice model are jointly … identified using data generated by this specific design. In contrast, based on revealed preference data, the utility and discount …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100670
operators and another that exploits the theory of monotone concave operators - we obtain conditions that are both necessary and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012931220
A number of authors have suggested that investors derive utility from realizing gains and losses on assets that they … own. We present a model of this quot;realization utility,quot; analyze its predictions, and show that it can shed light on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012751229
Using implicit expected utility theory, a money metric of utility derived from playing a lottery game is developed …. Output of the lottery sector can be defined as the difference in utility with and without the game. Using a kinked parametric …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012771827
, survival ambiguity is welfare improving because it allows competitive insurance companies to pool risk across survival types …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950059
Economic evaluation of climate policy traditionally treats uncertainty by appealing to expected utility theory. Yet our … circumstances it has been argued that the axioms of expected utility theory may not be the the correct standard of rationality. By …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142547
Vector autoregressions (VARs) are flexible time series models that can capture complex dynamic interrelationships among macroeconomic variables. However, their dense parameterization leads to unstable inference and inaccurate out-of-sample forecasts, particularly for models with many variables....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099106