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We develop a stochastic model of nonsynchronous asset prices based on sampling with random censoring. In addition to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013217218
sampling errors in the second moments are correlated with sampling errors in the weighting matrix used by OMD. Furthermore, OMD …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312527
Forecasts of the rate of price inflation play a central role in the formulation of monetary policy, and forecasting inflation is a key job for economists at the Federal Reserve Board. This paper examines whether this job has become harder and, to the extent that it has, what changes in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012761277
In this paper we discuss the properties of confidence intervals for regression parameters based on robust standard errors. We discuss the motivation for a modification suggested by Bell and McCaffrey (2002) to improve the finite sample properties of the confidence intervals based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099125
A recent literature has developed that combines two prominent empirical approaches to ex ante policy evaluation: randomized controlled trials (RCT) and structural estimation. The RCT provides a "gold-standard'' estimate of a particular treatment, but only of that treatment. Structural estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073955
We propose a new approach to modeling the cost of information structures in rational inattention problems, the "neighborhood-based" cost functions. These cost functions have two properties that we view as desirable: they summarize the results of a sequential evidence accumulation problem, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907127
first characterize the biases in both network statistics and estimates of network effects under non-random sampling …-classical measurement-error problems when applied as regressors. Apart from the sampling rate and the elicitation procedure, these biases … applied to network data collected via both designed and non-designed sampling procedures, does not require one to assume any …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907751
We examine the Cochrane and Piazzesi (2005, 2008) model in several out-of-sample analyzes. The model's one-factor forecasting structure characterizes the term structures of additional currencies in samples ending in 2003. In post-2003 data one-factor structures again characterize each currency's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910309
We investigate the extent to which tests of financial asset pricing models may be biased by using properties of the data to construct the test statistics. Specifically, we focus on tests using returns to portfolios of common stock where portfolios are constructed by sorting on some empirically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763376
Asset pricing models such as the conditional CAPM are typically estimated with MLE using a monthly or quarterly horizon with data sampled to match the horizon even though daily data are available. We develop an overlapping data inference methodology (ODIN) that uses all of the data while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056866