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Implicit in the prices of traded financial assets are Arrow- Debreu state prices or, in the continuous-state case, the state-price density (SPD). We construct an estimator for the SPD implicit in option prices and derive an asymptotic sampling theory for this estimator to gauge its accuracy. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763707
to compute more complicated derivative securities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763833
Trillions of dollars are invested through index funds, exchange-traded funds, and other index derivatives. The benefits of index-linked investing are well-known, but the possible broader economic consequences are unstudied. I review research which suggests that index-linked investing is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138081
An appropriate metric for the success of an algorithm to forecast the variance of the rate of return on a capital asset could be the incremental profit from substituting it for the next best alternative. We propose a framework to assess incremental profits for competing algorithms to forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138666
Security baskets and index-lined securities are securities whose values are functions of the cash flows or values of other assets. Creation of these "composite" securities would seem to be redundant since investors can cost1ess1y replicate them. In this paper we study the existence and optimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138948
Derivative contracts, swaps, and repos enjoy "super-senior" status in bankruptcy: they are exempt from the automatic …, even though this risk could be borne more efficiently by derivative counterparties. In addition, because super …-senior derivatives dilute existing creditors, they may lead firms to take on derivative positions that are too large from a social …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118249
Investors in option markets price in a substantial collective government bailout guarantee in the financial sector, which puts a floor on the equity value of the financial sector as a whole, but not on the value of the individual firms. The guarantee makes put options on the financial sector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123683
The Global Financial Crisis initiated a period of market turbulence and increased counterparty risk for financial institutions. Even though the Dodd-Frank Act is likely to exempt interbank foreign exchange trading from a central counterparty mandate, market participants have the option to trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103054
We develop a model of equilibrium entry, trade, and price formation in over-the- counter (OTC) markets. Banks trade derivatives to share an aggregate risk subject to two trading frictions: they must pay a fixed entry cost, and they must limit the size of the positions taken by their traders...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084727
Policy makers and market participants alike wish to understand the amount, economic significance, and concentration of derivatives trading activity. This paper suggests that systematic measuring and reporting of margin by market participants, disaggregated by asset class, would provide more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088391