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We propose a simple model of the international monetary system. We study the world supply and demand for reserve assets denominated in different currencies under a variety of scenarios: a Hegemon vs. a multipolar world; abundant vs. scarce reserve assets; a gold exchange standard vs. a floating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012990769
An exchange-rate system is a set of contracts which commits central banks to intervene in the foreign-exchange market. The design features of the system include: the rules of intervention, the limits placed on exchange rates and the quot;crisis scenarioquot; which describes possible transitions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776929
We provide an overview of the recent developments of the literature on the determinants of long term capital flows, global imbalances and valuation effects. We present the main stylized facts of the new international financial landscape in which external balance sheets of countries have grown in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078857
This paper provides a framework for evaluating how market participants' beliefs about foreign exchange target zones change as they learn about central bank intervention policy. In order to examine this behavior, we first generalize the standard target zone model to allow for intra-marginal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013140134
Under different assumptions about the underlying monetary shocks, we study target zones of various widths and the effect they have on variables like the interest differential. The stochastic disturbances assumed are successively a non-zero mean random walk and a mean reverting process. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322323
We use time-series methods to estimate a simple aggregate-supply aggregate-demand model in order to analyze the comparative performance of fixed- and flexible-exchange-rate systems and test competing hypotheses designed to explain shifts between exchange-rate regimes. The paper provides a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226928
In this paper we speculate about the evolution of the international monetary system in the last 2/3 of the 20th century absent the Great Depression but present the major post-Depression political and economic upheavals: WWII and II and the Cold War. We argue that without the Depression the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249557
Holtham and Hughes Hallett, and a number of other authors, have suggested that a printout of all 1,000 cases of coordination considered in Frankel and Rockett (1988) should be made available. They wish to check whether, if coordination is restricted to policy packages that they call 'strong'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236706
only when dominated by a single, exceptionally powerful national economy. In particular, this "theory of hegemonic … applicability of hegemonic stability theory to international monetary relations, approaching the question from both theoretical and … empirical vantage points. While that theory is of some help for understanding the relatively smooth operation of the classical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221314
In recent years, many countries have instituted monetary reforms aimed at improving anti-inflation credibility. Is it a problem, however, that international welfare spillover effects seldom receive much consideration in the design of monetary reforms? Surprisingly, the answer may be no. Under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221846