policies will adjust. Temporarily explosive debt has no effect on inflation if households expect all adjustments to occur … targeting inflation to stabilizing debt, then debt feeds directly into the path of inflation and monetary policy can no longer … control inflation. News that reduces expected primary surpluses can bring future inflation into the present, well before the …

a burst of inflation that devalues the existing nominal debt stock. The probability of this outcome places upward … pressure on inflation expectations and poses a substantial challenge to a central bank pursuing an inflation target. The … distribution of outcomes for the path of future inflation has a fat right tail, revealing that only a small set of outcomes imply …

We propose a continuous time model of nominal debt and investigate the role of inflation credibility in the potential … for self-fulfilling debt crises. Inflation is costly, but reduces the real value of outstanding debt without the full … punishment of default. With high inflation credibility, which can be interpreted as joining a monetary union or issuing foreign …

Brazil has had a long period of high inflation. It peaked around 100 percent per year in 1964, decreased until the … crisis in the early 1980s. We show that the high-inflation period (1960–1994) was characterized by a combination of fiscal … deficits, passive monetary policy, and constraints on debt financing. The transition to the low-inflation period (1995 …

the primary deficit with future values of inflation, interest rates, GDP and narrow money growth and changes in the … through adjustments in the primary deficit (80-100%), with less substantial roles being played by inflation (0-10%) and GDP … growth (0-20%). Focusing on the relation between fiscal imbalances and inflation suggests extremely modest interactions. This …

. In this context, we test for greater fiscal dominance over 2000-2017 under Inflation Targeting (IT) and non-IT regimes … with greater exchange rate volatility, inflation volatility, and underlying commodity exposure exhibit stronger …

-expected inflation can lower the real value of outstanding government debt. Looking forward, we derive a formula for the debt burden that …-adjusted probability distributions for inflation at different horizons. The estimates suggest that it is unlikely that inflation will lower … the US fiscal burden significantly, and that the effect of higher inflation is modest for plausible counterfactuals. If …

The paper studies the solvency of the Indian public sector and the eventual monetization and inflation implied by …