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This paper uses British data to examine the effects of dividend taxes on investors' relative valuation of dividends and … radical changes and several minor reforms in British dividend tax policy during the last twenty-five years. Studying the … data on a much broader sample, we find clear evidence that taxes change equilibrium relationships between dividend yields …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762995
/U.K. (1629-1812), U.K. (1813-1870) and U.S. (1871-2015). We show that dividend yields are stationary and consistently forecast … business cycle, with expected returns increasing in recessions. We also find that, except for the period after 1945, dividend … yields predict dividend growth rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031015
unconditional cross-sectional moments of household consumption growth and the moments of the risk-free rate, equity premium, price-dividend … ratio, and aggregate dividend and consumption growth. The model-implied risk-free rate and price-dividend ratio are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054039
through principal component analysis of the covariance matrix of log price dividend ratios of twenty five equity portfolios … formed on Size and Book-to-Market. We identify two price-dividend ratio factor proxies for economy wide long run risk, one … returns alone. The price dividend ratio factors perform better than the stock index price dividend ratio and the corporate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119779
We recover prices of dividend strips on the aggregate stock market using data from derivatives markets. The price of a … k-year dividend strip is the present value of the dividend paid in k years. The value of the stock market is the sum of … all dividend strip prices across maturities. We study the properties of strips and find that expected returns, Sharpe …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137025
firm shifts its dividend risk to the upside, which amplifies the overvaluation and explains the premium. Second, we argue … market through a higher share price, but is inefficient from the perspective of dividend value …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121056
When equity prices are determined as the discounted sum of current and expected future dividends, Shiller (1981) and LeRoy and Porter (1981) derived a relationship between the variance of the price of equities, p(t), and the variance of the ex post realized discounted sum of current and future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762545
This paper presents a bound on the variance of the price-dividend ratio and a decomposition of the variance of the … price-dividend ratio into components that reflect variation in expected future discount rates and variation in expected … future dividend growth. Unobserved discount rates needed to make the variance bound and variance decomposition hold are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762729
The effects on asset prices of changes in risk are studied in a general equilibrium model in which the conditional risk evolves stochastically over time. The savings decisions of consumers take account of the fact that conditional risk is a serially correlated random variable. By restricting the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762784
between the log dividend-price ratio and mathematical expectations of future log real dividend changes and future real … dividend growth, measured real discount rates and unexplained factors in determining the dividend-price ratio …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763389