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We develop a model that captures important features of debt crises of the Brazilian type. Its applicability to Brazil …, a relatively low debt/GDP ratio, low inflation, etc.); and (2) the trigger for the crisis appears to be the forthcoming …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235863
This paper studies the patterns of inflation skewness in 56 countries. Monthly data suggests that inflation is … a developing country that uses inflation tax and external borrowing as the residual means for fiscal financing. The … model predicts a convex dependency of inflation on output, where inflation skewness depends positively on inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212355
macroeconomic targets, such as output growth and the rate of inflation. The model centers around the government budget constraint … and can be used to either derive the financeable deficit given inflation targets, or to derive an equilibrium inflation … require more financing than is compatible with sustainable external and internal borrowing, and existing targets for inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013246287
After the economic reforms that followed the National Revolution of the 1950s, Bolivia seemed positioned for sustained growth. Indeed, it achieved unprecedented growth from 1960 to 1977. The rapid accumulation of debt due to persistent deficits and a fixed exchange rate policy during the 1970s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892582
Brazil has had a long period of high inflation. It peaked around 100 percent per year in 1964, decreased until the … indexation in accounting for the unique features of inflation dynamics in Brazil.Institutional subscribers to the NBER working … crisis in the early 1980s. We show that the high-inflation period (1960–1994) was characterized by a combination of fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895494
This paper discusses the acceleration of inflation in Brazil. In the early 1980s, the Brazilian inflation rate … Cruzado Plan failed to stop inflation because of an extremely loose monetary policy coupled with a lack of fiscal austerity …. Repeated price controls have increased the variability of inflation. More recently, the decline in tax collections and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232741
This paper presents a model of a high-inflation economy. The model includes the government budget constraint and money … demand equation of Cagan's 1956 model; an accelerationist Phillips curve that captures inflation inertia; and an aggregate …-spending equation that accounts for the effects of the inflation tax. The paper derives the dynamic effects of fiscal policy, incomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013252317
Inflation persists at moderate rates of 15-30 percent in all the countries that successfully reduced triple digit … inflations in the 1980s. Several other countries, for example Colombia, have experienced moderate inflation for prolonged periods …. In this paper we first set out theories of persistent inflation, which can be classified into those emphasizing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013245721
1964-66 and in 1986.The inflation process in Brazil is highly institutional. It does not resemble hyperinflations where …This paper highlights the institutional features of the inflation process and contrasts two stabilization efforts in … pricing and wage setting are geared to the exchange rate by the hour, making it possible to stop inflation by simply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228998
This paper presents evidence that public debts in the advanced economies have surged in recent years to levels not recorded since the end of World War II, surpassing the heights reached during the First World War and the Great Depression. At the same time, private debt levels, particularly those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129128