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This paper develops a dynamic, life-cycle, general equilibrium model to study the interdependent demographic, fiscal, and economic transition paths of China, Japan, the U.S., and the EU. Each of these countries/regions is entering a period of rapid and significant aging requiring major fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767513
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760232
This paper considers two central problems in our statistical frameworks which impair the ability to use wealth to assess economic sustainability or the impacts of economic downturns. Some increases in wealth may reflect increased economic rents—in particular, land and exploitation rents—and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019127
We study the importance of financial markets for (un)employment fluctuations in a model with searching and matching …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120317
We quantify the role of financial leverage behind the sluggish post-crisis investment performance of European firms. We use a cross-country firm-bank matched database to identify separate roles for firm leverage, bank balance sheet weaknesses arising from sovereign risk, and aggregate demand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920366
and Sweden). We conduct inference with mixed frequency data, combining quarterly series for unemployment, vacancies, GDP …, consumption, and investment, with annual data on unemployment flows. Parameters and shocks are estimated separately for each … country, which can then vary in terms of search and hiring costs, workers' bargaining power, unemployment benefits levels …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114011
This paper develops a rational expectations model with multiple equilibrium unemployment rates where the price of … a permanent reduction in wealth and consumption and a permanent increase in the unemployment rate. My work suggests that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123693
autarky to free trade doubles the European unemployment rate, while it raises the American unskilled wage to the high European … level. Entry of the unskilled South to world markets raises unemployment in Europe. But Europe's commitment to the high wage …-for-dollar, while European unemployment rises one-for-one. We consider a stylized game of the choice of factor market institutions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125263
-market recovery from financial crises is characterized by either higher unemployment ("jobless recovery") or a lower real wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099123
labor markets. We find that workers age 62 to 69 are responsive to the unemployment rate and to long-run fluctuations in … the rising unemployment rate will be almost 50 percent larger than the decrease in retirement brought about by the stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150735