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impending demographic changes in Japan, the Federal Republic of Germany, Sweden and the United States. The simulation results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013246074
This paper uses the Auerbach-Kotlikoff Dynamic Simulation Model to compare the projected demographic transitions in Canada and the United States. The simulation model determines the perfect foresight transition path of an economy in which individuals live to age 75. The model's preferences are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126200
This paper compares the predictions of three different saving models with respect to the impact of projected U.S. demographic change on future U.S. saving rates. The three models are the life cycle model, the infinite horizon altruism model, and a reduced form econometric model. The findings for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126292
This paper reassesses the long-term fiscal position of Korea using Generational Accounting, modified to reflect the special features of the Korean fiscal situation, such as prospective changes in public pension benefit profiles and social welfare expenditures due to the maturing of public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233719
Research on intergenerational transmission of wealth has pointed to uncertainty -- about the date of one's own death, for example -- as a potential source of significant bequest flows. In this paper I examine the effects of this same uncertainty on the behavior of those who expect to receive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137648
The high and rising household savings rate in China is not easily reconciled with the traditional explanations that … new competitive saving motive: As the sex ratio rises, Chinese parents with a son raise their savings in a competitive … manner in order to improve their son's relative attractiveness for marriage. The pressure on savings spills over to other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152435
This paper examines the impact of the aging demographic structure of the U.S. on its funded private pension system. A 75-year outlook is produced for the pension system corresponding to the 75-year forecast of the Social Security system. The primary result is that the pension system will cease...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235879
This working paper presents Chapter 7 of a book to be published for the National Bureau of Economic Research by the University of Chicago Press. The point of the book is to compare taxes on income from capital in four countries,accounting for corporate, personal, and property taxes, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224427
This working paper presents Chapter 2 of a book that has been submitted to the University of Chicago Press for publication consideration. The point of the book is to compare taxes on income from capital infour countries,accounting for corporate, personal, and property taxes, and including...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226949
Are generational accounts informative about the effect of the budget on the intergenerational distribution of resources and (when augmented with generation-specific propensities to consume out of life-time resources) on aggregate consumption and saving? The paper makes three points. First, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226174