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Emerging markets business cycle models treat default risk as part of an exogenous interest rate on working capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123681
Can increased uncertainty about the future cause a contraction in output and its components? An identified uncertainty shock in the data causes significant declines in output, consumption, investment, and hours worked. Standard general-equilibrium models with flexible prices cannot reproduce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100021
Uncertainty in both financial markets and the real economy rises sharply during recessions. We develop a model of informational interdependence between financial markets and the real economy, linking uncertainty to information production and aggregate economic activities. We argue that there...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911472
We inject aggregate uncertainty - risk and ambiguity - into an otherwise standard business cycle model and describe its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050286
We develop a theory of endogenous uncertainty and business cycles in which short-lived shocks can generate long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056864
We review the literature on uncertainty shocks and business cycle research. First, we motivate the study of uncertainty shocks by documenting the presence of time-variation in the volatility of macroeconomic time series. Second, we enumerate the mechanisms that researchers have postulated to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014101580
-generating strategy typically lowers the fund's risk-adjusted excess return due to frictions such as price pressure. When the manager is … via both management and incentive fees, we show that (i) the high-powered incentive fees encourage excessive risk taking … sufficiently poor fund performances substantially curtail managerial risk-taking, provide strong incentives to de-leverage, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128908
International risk-sharing has far-reaching implications both for economic policy and for basic research in economics …. When countries do not share risk, individuals in those countries experience fluctuations in their consumption levels that … are undesirable and possibly unnecessary. This paper extends and refines the study of international risk-sharing in two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129220
enough to approximate Kahnenman and Tversky's prospect theory and that for certain parametric values will yield the expected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135363
and conditional heteroskedasticity of exchange rates and on the behavior of foreign exchange risk premiums. The model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138143