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Predictive Regressions : A Present-Value Approach
van Binsbergen, Jules H. - 2010
dividend growth rates of the aggregate stock market. This approach aggregates information contained in the history of price-dividend … ratios and dividend growth rates to predict future returns and dividend growth rates. We find that returns and dividend … growth rates are predictable with R-squared values ranging from 8.2% to 8.9% for returns and 13.9% to 31.6% for dividend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139284
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Changing Times, Changing Values : A Historical Analysis of Sectors within the Us Stock Market 1872-2013
Bunn, Oliver - 2014
We construct a price, dividend, and earnings series for the Industrials sector, the Utilities sector, and the Railroads …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049370
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Dividends, Capital Gains, and the Corporate Veil : Evidence from Britain, Canada, and the United States
Poterba, James M. - 2010
This paper investigates the effects of increased cash dividend payout, and of quot;forced realizations~ of capital … United States, Great Britain, and Canada suggests that higher dividend tax rates lower consumption. This is consistent with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762734
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Coming Home to America : Dividend Repatriations by U.S. Multinationals
Hines Jr., James R.; Hubbard, R. Glenn - 2021
This paper analyzes the financial flows from foreign subsidiaries of American multinational corporations to their parent corporations in the U.S. These repatriations are important not only to U.S. investors, who thereby have access to those funds, but also to the U.S. government, which generally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013252322
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Average Marginal Tax Rates U.S. Household Interest and Dividend Income 1954-80
Estrella, Arturo; Fuhrer, Jeffrey C. - 2022
Statistics of Income data for dividend and interest income earned by U.S. households from 1954 to 1980. To illustrate the effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324146
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Health Care Spending Growth and the Future of U.S. Tax Rates
Baicker, Katherine - 2011
The fraction of GDP devoted to health care in the United States is the highest in the world and rising rapidly. Recent economic studies have highlighted the growing value of health improvements, but less attention has been paid to the efficiency costs of tax-financed spending to pay for such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130266
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Projecting the Effect of Changes in Smoking and Obesity on Future Life Expectancy in the United States
Preston, Samuel H. - 2012
We project the effects of declining smoking and increasing obesity on mortality in the United States over the period 2010-2040. Data on cohort behavioral histories are integrated into these projections. Future distributions of body mass indices are projected using transition matrices applied to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100360
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Incorporating Climate Uncertainty into Estimates of Climate Change Impacts, with Applications to U.S. And African Agriculture
Burke, Marshall - 2014
A growing body of economics research projects the effects of global climate change on economic outcomes. Climate scientists often criticize these articles because nearly all ignore the well-established uncertainty in future temperature and rainfall changes, and therefore appear likely to have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013067961
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Estimating the Social Cost of Carbon for Use in U.S. Federal Rulemakings : A Summary and Interpretation
Greenstone, Michael - 2014
The United States Government recently concluded a year-long process to develop a range of values representing the monetized damages associated with an incremental increase in carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, commonly referred to as the social cost of carbon (SCC). These values are currently used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068337
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Forward Guidance and Household Expectations
Coibion, Olivier - 2020
We compare the causal effects of forward guidance communication about future interest rates on households' expectations of inflation, mortgage rates, and unemployment to the effects of communication about future inflation in a randomized controlled trial using more than 25,000 U.S. individuals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840847