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This paper analyzes bond and stock markets in Latin America and uses these patterns to investigate whether contagion occurred in the 1990's. It defines shift-contagion' as a significant increase in cross-market linkages after a shock to one country or region. Several coin-toss examples and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219176
higher inflation rate than the country to which it is pegged. As a consequence, it experiences real exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219189
We present a standard intertemporal model in which fiscal policy is determined by an optimizing but non-benevolent fiscal authority. If the fiscal authority is impatient, a money-based stabilization provides more fiscal discipline and higher welfare for the representative agent than does an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221928
Bureaucratic quality in terms of the level of corruption varies widely across countries, and is in general slow to evolve relative to the speed with which many economic polices can be implemented such as the imposition of capital controls. In this paper, we study the possibility that quality of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238698
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) has been growing rapidly, at a pace far exceeding the growth in international trade. Thus, a full understanding of the relationship between trade in goods and FDI is important for obtaining a complete picture of the extent and sources of international linkages. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244735
The political left turn in Latin America, which lagged its transition to liberalized market economies by a decade or more, challenges conventional economic explanations of voting behavior. This paper generalizes the forward-looking voter model to a broad range of dynamic, non-concave income...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074913
This paper analyzes the relationship between trade policy and economic performance. The paper is divided in two fundamental parts. The first one uses a cross country data set to investigate the relationship between trade policy and productivity growth. It is found that countries that are more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013230598
, since most of these policies turned out to be failures, lowering reserves and causing higher inflation rates. Given this …. In this paper we show that, if the reform process is uncertain and inflation has welfare costs, the optimal exchange rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233012
We develop a model to understand the incidence of presidential and parliamentary institutions. Our analysis is predicated on two ideas: first, that minorities are relatively powerful in a parliamentary system compared to a presidential system, and second, that presidents have more power with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012765565
During the last few years there has been a renewed analysis in currency unions as a form of monetary arrangement. This new interest has been largely triggered by the Euro experience. Scholars and policy makers have asked about the optimal number of currencies in the world economy. They have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012780126