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in total mortgage issuance. Using a nine-country panel and instrumental variables methods, we present evidence that near …-term (one-year) rational expectations of future movements in ARM rates do affect mortgage choice, particularly in more recent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048590
Is there a link between loose monetary conditions, credit growth, house price booms, and financial instability? This paper analyzes the role of interest rates and credit in driving house price booms and busts with data spanning 140 years of modern economic history in the advanced economies. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039761
This paper evaluates a well-known approach from the economic history literature that uses grain prices to shed light on interest rates. Although this method has been applied in influential work starting with McCloskey and Nash (1984) and has potentially wide applicability in situations where...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012925271
mortgage design interact with monetary policy? We answer these questions using a quantitative equilibrium life cycle model with … policy. Designs that raise mortgage payments in booms and lower them in recessions do better than designs with fixed mortgage … reductions over the life of the mortgage. Front-loading alleviates household liquidity constraints in states where they are most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012923712
conventional commitment mortgage coupon rates in terms of current and lagged values of this perfect-market coupon rate. Finally, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774547
We document the emergence of a disconnect between mortgage and Treasury interest rates in the summer of 2003. Following … the end of the Federal Reserve expansionary cycle in June 2003, mortgage rates failed to rise according to their … historical relationship with Treasury yields, leading to significantly and persistently easier mortgage credit conditions. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948080
We present a monetary model in the presence of segmented asset markets that implies a persistent fall in interest rates after a once and for all increase in liquidity. The gradual propagation mechanism produced by our model is novel in the literature. We provide an analytical characterization of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118840
Fluctuations of business activity in the United States clearly have their monetary and financial side, but these aspects of U.S. economic fluctuations exhibit few quantitative regularities that have persisted unchanged across spans of tine over which the nation's financial markets have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218836
This paper analyzes the effects of money injections on interest rates and exchange rates in a model in which agents must pay a Baumol-Tobin style fixed cost to exchange bonds and money. Asset markets are endogenously segmented because this fixed cost leads agents to trade bonds and money only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220784
We propose and illustrate a Markov-switching multi-fractal duration (MSMD) model for analysis of inter-trade durations in financial markets. We establish several of its key properties with emphasis on high persistence (indeed long memory). Empirical exploration suggests MSMD's superiority...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106661