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We compare patterns of unemployment and joblessness between Canada and the U.S. during the Great Recession. Similar to … previous findings for the U.S. in Kroft et al. [2016], we document a rise in long-term unemployment in Canada. This increase is … us to model duration dependence in all labor force flows involving either unemployment or non-participation. To calibrate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908170
In response to the Great Recession, the availability of unemployment insurance (UI) benefits was extended to an … individual exit from unemployment, and we compare the estimated impact with that for the prior extension of benefits during the … unemployment exit rate and a small increase in the expected duration of unemployment. The effects on exits and duration are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081844
The Great Recession from December 2007 to June 2009 is associated with a dramatic weakening of the labor market from which, by some measures, it has not completely recovered. I use data from the Displaced Workers Survey (DWS) from 1984-2014 to investigate the incidence and consequences of job...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021879
pandemic recession. We first measure the contribution of temporary layoffs to unemployment dynamics over the period 1979 to the … due to “loss-of-recall”, whereby workers in temporary-layoff unemployment lose their job permanently and do so at higher … both temporary-layoff and jobless unemployment. The model captures well pre-pandemic unemployment dynamics and shows how …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014082355
-cycle-frequency fluctuations in unemployment and job vacancies in response to shocks of a plausible magnitude. In the U.S., the vacancy-unemployment … vacancy-unemployment ratio and labor productivity have nearly the same variance. I establish this claim both using analytical … small movement along a downward sloping Beveridge curve (unemployment-vacancy locus). A shock to the job destruction rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218505
that they will be recalled. We show that the resulting temporary-layoff unemployment dissipates quickly following a spike …. Potential workers without jobs constitute what we call jobless unemployment. Shocks that elevate jobless unemployment have much … unemployment and consequently caused extended periods of elevated unemployment. The pandemic of 2020 created a large volume of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013240640
A search-theoretic general equilibrium model of frictional unemployment is shown to be consistent with some of the key … regularities of unemployment over the business cycle. In the model the return to a job moves stochastically. Agents can choose … unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243374
Fluctuations in the equilibrium rate of unemployment can only be understood within a theory of the natural or … equilibrium rate. It is not enough to say that unemployment is the difference between supply and demand in the labor market … themselves better off. At the equilibrium unemployment rate, employers cannot obtain labor at lower cost by offering work at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247212
This paper develops a search-and-matching model that incorporates temporary unemployment and applies the model to study … the unemployed. We then use the model to project the path of unemployment over the next 18 months. Under a range of … distinguish between temporary and permanent unemployment and compared to professional and academic forecasts. We find that in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232744
. In the context of such a model, we introduce a measure of unemployment and analyze its equilibrium behavior. We show that … unemployment rate, in a way qualitatively consistent with the evidence. The model stresses the role of countercyclical markups in … the goods market as a key mechanism underlying the countercyclical behavior of unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013217603