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We present novel insights on the role of international trade following unanticipated government spending and income tax changes in a flexible exchange rate environment. In a simple two-country, two-good model, we show analytically that fiscal multipliers can be larger in economies more open to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014094626
Agricultural development may support broader economic development, though agricultural expansion may also crowd-out local non-agricultural activity. On the United States Plains, areas over the Ogallala aquifer experienced windfall agricultural gains when post-WWII technologies increased farmers'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100368
A large share of the poor in developing countries run small enterprises, often earning low incomes. This paper explores whether the poor performance of businesses can be explained by a lack of basic business skills. We randomized the offer of a free, 48-hour business skills course to female...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071515
Economics and history both strive to understand causation: economics using instrumental variables econometrics and history by weighing the plausibility of alternative narratives. Instrumental variables can lose value with repeated use because of an econometric tragedy of the commons bias: each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131513
If there was any time to expect a large peace-time multiplier effect from federal spending in the states, it would have …. Using panel data methods we estimate a multiplier, defined as the change in per capita state economic activity in response … to an additional dollar per capita of federal funds. The state per capita personal income multiplier with respect to per …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135808
We define the notion of a 'de facto fiscal space' of a country as the inverse of the tax-years it would take to repay the public debt. Specifically, we measure the outstanding public debt relative to the de facto tax base, where the latter measures the realized tax collection, averaged across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135878
government purchases multiplier. But equally crucial is the size of the government purchases multiplicand--the change in … government purchases of goods and services that the multiplier actually multiplies. Using new data from the Bureau of Economic … government purchases multiplier, changes in government purchases have had no material effect on the growth of GDP since the time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136548
countries, (ii) the fiscal multiplier is relatively large in economies operating under predetermined exchange rates but is zero …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136746
in 1941, particularly in the second half of that year. As a result our preferred government spending multiplier is 1 ….80 multiplier is relevant to situations like 2009-10 when capacity constraints are absent across the economy.Two sets of new …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137986
shocks, with military spending having the largest multiplier. Third, we show that controlling for predictable components of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138770