Showing 1 - 10 of 8,146
risk. Current reporting standards for derivatives exposures are nevertheless inadequate for assessing these systemic risk … contributions. In this paper, I explain how a transparency standard, in contrast to the current standard, would facilitate such risk … lack of standardization, they cannot be aggregated to assess the risk to the system. I highlight the important contribution …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092196
Human beings want to believe that good outcomes in the future are more likely, but also want to make good decisions that increase average outcomes in the future. We consider a general equilibrium model with complete markets and show that when investors hold beliefs that optimally balance these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777581
Recently a market in options based on CPI inflation (inflation caps and floors) has emerged in the US. This paper uses quotes on these derivatives to construct probability densities for inflation. We study how these pdfs respond to news announcements, and find that the implied odds of deflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104396
manage systematic mortality risks, namely self-insurance and risk transfer to purchasers of the annuity products. We … demonstrate that self-insurance leads to high loadings, so that households offered a choice would favor the risk transfer scheme …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119604
how it affects rational investors' demand for event risk exposures. We show that while parameter uncertainty does indeed … argue that parameter uncertainty does not appear to be a satisfactory explanation for high event-risk returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763236
Uncertainty in both financial markets and the real economy rises sharply during recessions. We develop a model of informational interdependence between financial markets and the real economy, linking uncertainty to information production and aggregate economic activities. We argue that there...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911472
This paper studies the aggregate implications of imperfect risk-sharing implied by a class of New Keynesian models with … idiosyncratic income risk and incomplete financial markets. The models in this class can be equivalently represented as an economy … representative-agent economy to perform counterfactuals. We find that deviations from perfect risk-sharing were an important …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867097
idiosyncratic income risk. These agents can trade a complete menu of contingent claims, but they cannot commit and shares in a Lucas … risk factor, in addition to aggregate consumption growth risk. This liquidity risk is created by binding solvency … constraints. The adjustment to the Breeden-Lucas stochastic discount factor induces substantial time variation in equity risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012784936
a key determinant of risk premia at all investment horizons. As the investment horizon increases, transitory risks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776939
International consumption risk sharing studies have largely ignored their models' counterfactual implications for asset … returns although these returns incorporate direct market measures of risk. In this paper, we modify a canonical risk … variance of equity returns and the risk-free rate requires persistent consumption risk, leading to three main findings: (1 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110190