Showing 1 - 10 of 2,348
We use a new micro data set that covers all oil fields in the world to estimate a stochastic industry-equilibrium model … market in a general-equilibrium model of the world economy. We analyze the impact of the advent of fracking on the volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955791
whether the U.S. share of world oil imports is more or less than its share of OPEC asset holdings; in the long run, whether …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220415
This paper provides some evidence of the "export overshooting" phenomenon, i.e., the unusually large deviation of exports from their long-run level. We study the export trends of a sample of 37 countries including both OECD and non-OECD countries over the period of 1994-2009. We find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128969
We investigate the relationship between economic growth and lagged international capital flows, disaggregated into FDI, portfolio investment, equity investment, and short-term debt. We follow about 100 countries during 1990-2010 when emerging markets became more integrated into the international...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119605
This paper argues that if policymakers seek to enhance global liquidity, then the international community must provide a higher and better coordinated level of fiscal support than it has in the past. Loans to troubled sovereigns or financial institutions imply a credit risk that ultimately must...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120324
for the 50 largest economies in the world. Smaller countries have fewer firms, and thus higher volatility. The model … trade to aggregate fluctuations depends strongly on country size: in the largest economies in the world, such as the U.S. or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121047
from 1970 to 2009. For the world, the ratio of value added to gross trade falls by ten to fifteen percentage points, with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104723
A salient feature of globalization in recent decades is the emergence of "global supply chains" in which different countries specialize in different stages of a sequential production process. In Arnaud Costinot, Jonathan Vogel and Su Wang (2011), CVW hereafter, we have developed a simple theory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107972
In this paper, I examine changes in international trade associated with the integration of low- and middle-income countries into the global economy. Led by China and India, the share of developing economies in global exports more than doubled between 1994 and 2008. One feature of new trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108243
What determines the choice of countries' trade partners? We show theoretically and empirically that financial market imperfections affect the number and identity of exporters' destinations. Bigger economies with lower trade costs are more attractive markets because they offer higher export...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085496