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this variation to estimate an "open economy relative multiplier" of approximately 1.5. We develop a framework for … interpreting this estimate and relating it to estimates of the standard closed economy aggregate multiplier. The closed economy …, our open economy relative multiplier "differences out" these effects because different regions in the union share a common …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120316
The War for Independence left the National Government deeply in debt. The spoils from winning that war also gave it an empire of land. So, post-1783, was the National Government solvent? Was its net asset position, land assets minus debt liabilities, positive or negative? Evidence is gathered to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012761788
The contrast between the early nineteenth century Argentinean experience of high inflation and the American experience of low inflation is interpreted in terms of a dynamic monetary model of optimal taxation. It is argued that the two countries' experiences diverged because of the different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235603
Military spending, fatalities, and the destruction of capital, all of which are immediately felt and are often large, are the most overt costs of war. They are also relatively short-lived. The costs of war borne by combatants and their caretakers, which includes families, communities, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142072
Questions about current and prior religion adherence from the International Social Survey Program and the World Values Survey allow us to calculate country-level religious-conversion rates for 40 countries. These conversion rates apply to religion adherence classified into eight major types. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012775476
A key issue in current research and policy is the size of fiscal multipliers when the economy is in recession. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138770
We use data on a panel of states over a 30 year sample to estimate the response of unemployment to military procurement spending. The state panel provides greater variation in both variables and permits us to examine whether responses to procurement spending shocks vary across states. Our main...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125231
In 1790, a U.S. paper dollar was widely held in disrepute (something shoddy was not 'worth a Continental'). By 1879, a U.S. paper dollar had become 'as good as gold.' These outcomes emerged from how the U.S. federal government financed three wars: the American Revolution, the War of 1812, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082431
For U.S. annual data that include WWII, the estimated multiplier for temporary defense spending is 0.4-0.5 contemporaneously and 0.6-0.7 over two years. If the change in defense spending is "permanent" (gauged by Ramey's defense-news variable), the multipliers are higher by 0.1-0.2. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150906
Do shocks to government spending raise or lower consumption and real wages? Standard VAR identification approaches show a rise in these variables, whereas the Ramey-Shapiro narrative identification approach finds a fall. I show that a key difference in the approaches is the timing. Both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155114