Showing 1 - 10 of 9,487
-of-sample volatility of optimized portfolios from each model. A few factors capture the general covariance structure but adding more … yield similar results. Using a tracking error volatility criterion, larger differences appear, with particularly favorable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763801
a regime-switching model and find evidence for the existence of a high volatility regime, in which returns are more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774819
Mean-variance efficient portfolios constructed using sample moments often involve taking extreme long and short positions. Hence practitioners often impose portfolio weight constraints when constructing efficient portfolios. Green and Hollifield (1992) argue that the presence of a single...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787232
We examine the prediction of Merton's intertemporal CAPM that time varying risk premiums arise from the conditional covariances of returns on assets with the return on the market and other state variables. We find a positive and significant price of risk for the covariance with the market return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013052136
We study the role of information in asset pricing models with long-run cash flow risk. When investors can distinguish short- from long-run consumption risks (full information), the model generates a sizable equity risk premium only if the equity term structure slopes up, contrary to the data. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012755422
We examine the pricing of aggregate volatility risk in the cross-section of stock returns. Consistent with theory, we … find that stocks with high sensitivities to innovations in aggregate volatility have low average returns. In addition, we … find that stocks with high idiosyncratic volatility relative to the Fama and French (1993) model have abysmally low average …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762558
information-based model demonstrates that the correlation of beliefs implied by analyst forecasts leads to return correlations … broadly in line with the data, both in levels and across countries - the correlation between predicted and actual is 0.63. Our … findings have implications for market-wide volatility - the model-implied correlations alone can explain 44% of the cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017087
macro factors are still important in fitting bond return volatility; whereas the "variance premium" is critical in … explaining stock return volatility. However, the factor model primarily fails in fitting covariances …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013151357
Various types of uncertainty shocks can explain many phenomena in macroeconomics and finance. But does this just amount to inventing new, exogenous, unobserved shocks to explain challenging features of business cycles? This paper argues that three conceptually distinct fluctuations, all called...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012987142
We perform an experimental study of complexity to assess its effect on trading behavior, price volatility, liquidity …. Complexity altered subjects' bidding strategies, decreased liquidity, increased price volatility, and decreased trade efficiency … complex treatment. Our analysis suggests that complexity may be a driver of volatility and liquidity in financial markets and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141005