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We present a theory of choice among lotteries in which the decision maker's attention is drawn to (precisely defined … distinguish it from Prospect Theory, which we test. We also use the model to modify the standard asset pricing framework, and use …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038557
This paper focuses on Social Security benefit claiming behavior, a take-up decision that has been ignored in the previous literature. Using financial calculations and simulations based on an expected utility maximization model, we show that delaying benefit claim for a period of time after...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221087
enough to approximate Kahnenman and Tversky's prospect theory and that for certain parametric values will yield the expected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135363
A principal provides budgets to agents (e.g., divisions of a firm or the principal's children) whose expenditures provide her benefits, either materially or because of altruism. Only agents know their potential to generate benefits. We prove that if the more "productive" agents are also more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096139
Though risk aversion and the elasticity of intertemporal substitution have been the subjects of careful scrutiny when calibrating preferences, the long-run risks literature as well as the broader literature using recursive utility to address asset pricing puzzles have ignored the full...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074290
We present a novel approach to depicting asset pricing dynamics by characterizing shock exposures and prices for alternative investment horizons. We quantify the shock exposures in terms of elasticities that measure the impact of a current shock on future cash-flow growth. The elasticities are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013154476
We provide an empirical evaluation of the forward-looking long-run risks (LRR) model and highlight model differences with the backward-looking habit based asset pricing model. We feature three key results: (i) Consistent with the LRR model, there is considerable evidence in the data of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013154563
In this paper we study "investment tournaments," a class of decision problems that involve gradual allocation of investment among several alternatives whose values are subject to exogenous shocks. The decision-maker's payoff is determined by the final values of the alternatives. An important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158033
We evaluate the asset pricing implications of a class of models in which risk sharing is imperfect because of limited enforcement of intertemporal contracts. Lustig (2004) has shown that in such a model the asset pricing kernel can be written as a simple function of the aggregate consumption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012775482
We propose a new hypothesis, the Power of Certainty, to help explain agents' difficulties in making choices when there are multiple possible payoff-relevant states. In the probabilistic ‘Acquiring-a-Company' problem an agent submits a price to a firm before knowing whether the firm is of low...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012943184