Showing 1 - 10 of 9,995
This paper addresses the puzzle of regime-dependent volatility in foreign exchange. We extend the literature in two … induce volatility under flexible rates because they have portfolio-balance effects on price, whereas under fixed rates the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763111
This paper develops an explicitly stochastic new open economy macroeconomics' model, which can potentially be used to explore the qualitative and quantitative welfare differences between alternative exchange rate regimes. A crucial feature is that we do not simplify by assuming certainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232899
The extent and direction of causation between micro volatility and business cycles are debated. We examine, empirically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044984
This paper presents a very simple model of the effects of flexible exchange rates in the transmission of business cycles. The starting point is the traditional "locomotive" effect, through exports and imports. Aside from this horizontal transmission, the intertemporal exchange rate model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232459
forecasting of daily and lower frequency volatility and return distributions. Most procedures for modeling and forecasting … ARCH or stochastic volatility models, which often perform poorly at intraday frequencies. Use of realized volatility … and forecasting. Building on the theory of continuous-time arbitrage-free price processes and the theory of quadratic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787458
. Our theory implies a connection between the estimated risk premium equation, and the influence of exchange rate volatility …We examine how exchange rate volatility affects exporter's pricing decisions in the presence of optimal forward …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013310814
floating rates allows for a lower variance of consumption, but exchange rate volatility itself leads to a lower average level …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324601
Guided by a macroeconomic model in which commodity prices are endogenously determined, we apply a new factor-based identification strategy to decompose the historical sources of changes in commodity prices and global economic activity. The model yields a factor structure for commodity prices and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056593
The theoretical literature on pricing-to-market has identified two possible reasons why the elasticity of prices to exchange rate changes may be asymmetric across appreciations and depreciations. If firms are attempting to increase market shares in foreign markets subject to the possibility of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124599
The corners hypothesis holds that intermediate exchange rate regimes are vanishing, or should be. Surprisingly for a new conventional wisdom, this hypothesis so far lacks analytic foundations. In part, the generalization is overdone. We nevertheless offer one possible theoretical rationale, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013217196