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youth cohort size. Finally, due to recent declines in fertility, some European countries will see reductions in the size of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222038
This paper uses the Auerbach-Kotlikoff Dynamic Simulation Model to compare the projected demographic transitions in Canada and the United States. The simulation model determines the perfect foresight transition path of an economy in which individuals live to age 75. The model's preferences are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126200
`long' nineteenth century. The fertility transition was early (dating from at least 1800) and from very high levels. The … levels were moderate, and death rates began their sustained decline only by the 1870s, long after the fertility transition … or accompanies the fertility transition. Internal migration in the United States was also distinctive. Over most of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013245134
This paper examines two aspects of teen childbearing in the United States. First, it reviews and synthesizes the evidence on the reasons why teen birth rates are so uniquely high in the United States and especially in some states. Second, it considers why and how it matters. We argue that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108240
We investigate trends in the U.S. rate of teen childbearing between 1981 and 2010, giving particular attention to the sizable decline that has occurred since 1991. Our primary focus is on establishing the role of state-level demographic changes, economic conditions, and targeted policies in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108242
Dramatic fertility swings over the last 100 years have been the subject of large literatures in demography and … economics. Recent research has claimed that the post-1960 fertility decline is exceptional enough to constitute a "Second … the fertility decline in the 1960s and 1970s to the earlier 20th century fertility decline, especially the 1920s and 1930s …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073560
Health Statistics, we estimate fertility responses to these eligibility expansions. We measure changes in state Medicaid … had a statistically discernible effect on fertility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777649
fertility and mortality. Most presently developed nations began their fertility transitions in the late nineteenth or early … fertility of the white population of the United States was declining from at least the year 1800. By the end of the antebellum … experiencing a fertility transition. This transition was well in advance of significant urbanization, industrialization, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778282
After roughly 10 years of decline, the U.S. fertility rate reached a historic low in 2017. However, aggregate trends in … fertility mask substantial heterogeneity across different demographic groups. Young women and unmarried women have seen the … largest declines in fertility in recent years while women older than 30 and married women have actually experienced increases …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893574
The 1960s ushered in a new era in U.S. demographic history characterized by significantly lower fertility rates and … provides new evidence that it accelerated the post-1960 decline in marital fertility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757951