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If there was any time to expect a large peace-time multiplier effect from federal spending in the states, it would have …. Using panel data methods we estimate a multiplier, defined as the change in per capita state economic activity in response … to an additional dollar per capita of federal funds. The state per capita personal income multiplier with respect to per …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135808
countries, (ii) the fiscal multiplier is relatively large in economies operating under predetermined exchange rates but is zero …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136746
substitution effects, yielding uniform comparisons across models. By constraining the multiplier to tight ranges, model and prior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120209
A key question that has arisen during recent debates is whether government spending multipliers are larger during times when resources are idle. This paper seeks to shed light on this question by analyzing new quarterly historical data covering multiple large wars and depressions in the U.S. and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087434
We argue that the government-spending multiplier can be much larger than one when the zero lower bound on the nominal … larger is the value of the multiplier. After providing intuition for these results, we investigate the size of the multiplier … in a dynamic, stochastic, general equilibrium model. In this model the multiplier effect is substantially larger than one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150737
. With allowance for other factors holding back GDP growth during those wars, the multiplier linking government purchases to … as well. On the other hand, neoclassical models have a much lower multiplier, because they predict that consumption falls … when purchases rise. The key features of a model that delivers a higher multiplier are (1) the decline in the markup ratio …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013154570
A geographic cross-sectional fiscal spending multiplier measures the effect of an increase in spending in one region in … Reinvestment Act and a survey of empirical studies, my preferred point estimate for a cross-sectional output multiplier is 1 ….8. Economic theory of how to map these multipliers into a national multiplier has also advanced. Drawing on the theoretical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951882
We measure the size of the fiscal multiplier using a heterogeneous-agent model with incomplete markets, capital and ….We find that market incompleteness is key to determining the size of the fiscal multiplier, which is uniquely determined in … our model for any combination of fiscal and monetary policies of interest. The multiplier is 1.34 if deficit-financed and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892557
This paper takes stock of what we have learned from the “Renaissance” in fiscal research in the ten years since the financial crisis. I first summarize the new innovations in methodology and discuss the various strengths and weaknesses of the main approaches. Reviewing the estimates, I come...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893136
In this paper, we estimate government purchase multipliers for Japan, following the approach used previously for a panel of OECD countries (Auerbach and Gorodnichenko, 2013). This approach allows multipliers to vary smoothly according to the state of the economy and uses real-time forecast data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058256