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We explore the quantitative implications of uncertainty about the length of life and a lack of annuity markets for life cycle consumption in a general equilibrium overlapping generations model in which markets are otherwise complete. Empirical studies find that consumption tends to rise early in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012761264
-generational transmission of wealth. Financial markets are incomplete, exposing agents to both labor income and capital income risk. We show … that the stationary wealth distribution is a Pareto distribution in the right tail and that it is capital income risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012764838
Can governments roll their debt over forever in dynamically efficient economies, and thus avoid the need to raise taxes? While the answer is a clear no under certainty, it depends, under uncertainty, on whether public debt provides intergenerational insurance. When it does not, rollover is not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767839
facing uninsurable idiosyncratic labor income risk. The Ramsey government internalizes the general equilibrium feedback of … optimal aggregate saving rate is independent of income risk. The optimal time-invariant tax on capital is increasing in income … risk. Its sign depends on the extent of risk and on the Pareto weight of future generations. If the Ramsey tax rate that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927058
The theoretical literature presumes generational risk is large enough to merit study and that such risk can be … to directly measure generational risk and the extent to which it can be mitigated via financial markets or Social … Security. The model is trend stationary as is common in the literature. It features isoelastic preferences, moderate risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079749
This paper examines the optimal allocation of risk in an overlapping-generations economy. It compares the allocation of … risk the economy reaches naturally to the allocation that would be reached if generations behind a Rawlsian 'veil of … ignorance' could share risk with one another through complete Arrow-Debreu contingent-claims markets. The paper then examines …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013248396
This paper examines the risk aspects of a fully phased-in investment-based defined contribution Social Security plan … system. A higher saving rate provides a cushion' that reduces the risk of unacceptably low benefits. For example, saving 6 … annuity exceeds 92 percent of the benchmark benefit. We also study a modified plan in which retirees face no risk of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213068
implications for the allocation of risk between generations. There is no reason to presume that the market or the family can … allocate risk efficiently to future generations, implying that stochastic government policies have the potential to create …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237287
Are market and voting institutions capable of producing optimal intergenerational risk-sharing? To study this question … that take place in markets and voting institutions. Unlike most of that literature, we study both ex-ante and interim risk …-sharing. Our main conclusion is that both types of institutions have serious problems. Markets cannot generate ex-ante risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221836
Uncertainty in both financial markets and the real economy rises sharply during recessions. We develop a model of informational interdependence between financial markets and the real economy, linking uncertainty to information production and aggregate economic activities. We argue that there...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911472