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The paper estimates and examines the empirical plausibiltiy of asset pricing models that attempt to explain features of financial markets such as the size of the equity premium and the volatility of the stock market. In one model, the long run risks model of Bansal and Yaron (2004), low...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776940
Recently much progress has been made in developing optimal portfolio choice models accomodating time-varying opportunity sets, but unless investors are unreasonably risk averse, optimal holdings include unreasonably large equity positions. One reason is that most studies assume investors behave...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012788074
A flexible labor margin allows households to absorb shocks to asset values with changes in hours worked as well as changes in consumption. This ability to partially offset wealth shocks by varying hours of work can significantly alter the household's attitudes toward risk, as shown in Swanson...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012871945
which also incorporates two long-standing ideas in psychology: prospect theory, and evidence on how prior outcomes affect … risky choice. Consistent with prospect theory, the investor in our model derives utility not only from consumption levels …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763762
<script type="text/javascript" src="https://cdnjs.cloudflare.com/ajax/libs/mathjax/2.7.1/MathJax.js?config=AM_HTMLorMML-full"></script>In the rare-disasters setting, a key determinant of the equity premium is the size distribution of macroeconomic disasters, gauged by proportionate declines in per capita consumption or GDP. The long-term national-accounts data for up to 36 countries provide a large sample of disaster events of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009178
a large premium is implausibly large. We offer a new explanation based on Kahneman and Tversky's 'prospect theory'. The … simulations we find that the size of the equity premium is consistent with the previously estimated parameters of prospect theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311880
In a model with heterogeneous-risk-aversion agents facing margin constraints, we show how securities' required returns are characterized both by their betas and their margin requirements. Negative shocks to fundamentals make margin constraints bind, lowering risk-free rates and raising Sharpe...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130262
We develop a dynamic agency model where payout, investment and financing decisions are made by managers who attempt to maximize the rents they take from the firm, subject to a capital market constraint. Managers smooth payout in order to smooth their flow of rents. Total payout (dividends plus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139901
We study an economy where the lack of a simultaneous double coincidence of wants creates the need for a relatively safe asset (money). We show that, even in the absence of asymmetric information or an agency problem, the private provision of liquidity is inefficient. The reason is that liquidity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121103
A principal provides budgets to agents (e.g., divisions of a firm or the principal's children) whose expenditures provide her benefits, either materially or because of altruism. Only agents know their potential to generate benefits. We prove that if the more "productive" agents are also more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096139