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-priori notions of positive association between inflation rates and profit rates, our theory proposes a critical test of a negative … mechanism follows from our theory that when the profit rate is above a normal-target rate, competitive forces operate to lower … as a strategy to improve profitability. The notion of "correlated strategy" is adopted from game theory. The mechanism …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219316
This paper studies the relationship between inflation, output, money and interest rates in the euro area, using data … power for future inflation. The real money gap contains more information about future inflation than the output gap and the … Eurosystem's money-growth indicator is an inferior indicator of future inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312477
state) inflation; cyclical interaction of inflation with real variables; and positive analysis of monetary policy behavior …. With regard to ongoing inflation, the paper demonstrates that the principal conclusions of theoretical analysis are not …. Whether one assumes finite-lived or infinite-lived agents, such models suggest that steady-state inflation rates will conform …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231218
measures of arginal cost as the relevant determinant of inflation, as the theory suggests, instead of an ad-hoc output gap …We develop and estimate a structural model of inflation that allows for a fraction of firms that use a backward looking …. Real marginal costs are a significant and quantitatively important determinant of inflation. Backward looking price setting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013246492
U.S. inflation using a framework that ignores monetary frictions? The fiscal theory of the price level allows us to … history of U.S. inflation with a fiscal-theory, frictionless view. I show how the fiscal theory can accommodate the stylized …Financial innovation challenges the foundations of monetary theory, and standard monetary theory has not been very …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013214592
The standard view of the political economy of public debt is that myopic and unconstrained politicians prefer to disregard intertemporal smoothing considerations and extract political rents as fast as possible. From this perspective, it seems that the world has much to celebrate, as most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759551
-price changes, and an index of equiproportional changes in all inflation rates, that we label quot;purequot; inflation. The paper … price changes to fundamental economic shocks. We use the estimates of the pure inflation and aggregate relative …-price components to answer two questions. First, what share of the variability of inflation is associated with each component, and how …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759679
We analyze the dynamics of inflation in an economy characterized by a forward-looking, staggered, price and wage … determination process, and by monetary accommodation. In our model, inflation reconciles the conflicting claims of workers and firms …. The model is capable of generating a positive association between real wages and inflation, of the type that has been …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760153
both with inflation and with nominal interest rates. This paper examines whether these findings extend to the short … inflation and nominal interest rates does appear for the longer maturity assets. In fact, the relationship grows stronger with … best hedge against expected inflation, none of the assets were a perfect hedge. We find a statistically significant change …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760341
with expected inflation. Given the importance of this adjustment for questions of both monetary theory and monetary policy … nominal interest rates and expected price inflation, portfolio behavior is the most plausibly flexible in the short run. Since … important lenders' portfolio behavior can be in bringing about the adjustment of interest rates which Fisher's theory associates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763220