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France, Italy and Germany corroborates this finding, and we estimate cumulative gains of up to 5 percentage points in … the provincial mandate announcements). We also find large vaccination gains in France (3 to 5 mln first doses), Italy … (around 6 mln) and Germany (around 3.5 mln) 11 to 16 weeks after the proof of vaccination mandate announcements …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311605
This paper exploits a data rich environment to provide direct econometric estimates of time-varying macroeconomic uncertainty, defined as the common volatility in the unforecastable component of a large number of economic indicators. Our estimates display significant independent variations from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075857
This note lays out the basic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemiological model of contagion, with a target audience of economists who want a framework for understanding the effects of social distancing and containment policies on the evolution of contagion and interactions with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838354
We estimate the degree of amp;apos;stickinessamp;apos; in aggregate consumption growth (sometimes interpreted as reflecting consumption habits) for thirteen advanced economies. We find that, after controlling for measurement error, consumption growth has a high degree of autocorrelation, with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012772369
This paper compares the role innovation plays in productivity across the four European countries France, Germany, Spain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778167
Pay-as-you-go Social Security is typically characterized as a universal defined benefit pension program. Implicit in this characterization is a sense that the participant%u2019s investment in future benefits is somehow guaranteed, or safe from risk. This study develops the concept of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012761674
Over the past century the long-run growth of six economies shows a strong association between investment in machinery and economic growth that holds both within and across nations and periods. A similar strong association holds for the post-world War II period for a broader cross section of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763337
accounts). We use survey data on household portfolios for the U.S., Canada, Australia, the U.K., Germany, France, Italy, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054868
This paper examines the historical evolution of central bank credibility using both historical narrative and empirics for a group of 16 countries, both advanced and emerging. It shows how the evolution of credibility has gone through a pendulum where credibility was high under the classical gold...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043621
Group-of-Five (G-5) countries: France, West Germany, Japan, United Kingdom and United states. It is assumed that all … France, West Germany and Japan, and between 8 and 10 percent per annum for the U.K. and the U.S. for the period under study …, the productive efficiencies of France, West Germany and Japan rose rapidly from less than 40 percent of the U.S. level in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013216118